why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
SBF Funneled Anthropic Investment Through Alameda to Obscure His Name
“A lot of it went to venture investments. So Sam Bankman Freed was investing in a bunch of different companies, Anthropic being one of them and he decided to do so through Alameda for a lot of them just to avoid having his name associated with it.”
Assertion Supported
Emails Show SBF's Mother Advised Him on Straw Political Donations
“And then there were also emails from his mother, who was a very active political, ah, sort of philanthropist. She ran a fund to try to donate to progressive causes, and she was effectively making, you know, giving advice in these emails about making straw dona…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
White: Effective accelerationists want fast AI development regardless of risks
“The effective accelerationists, on the other hand, believe that we should just go all out, no breaks, develop as quickly as we can without any real regard for the risks, and that it will all just sort of work itself out because of some philosophy that they sor…”
Assertion Supported
Alameda Was Allowed Massively Negative Account Balance on FTX
“Alameda Research also traded on the FTX exchange, and they served as a market maker there, and they were given the ability on that exchange to draw down a line of credit such that they could have a massively negative account balance on FTX. And that's somethin…”
Assertion Supported
Insiders Admitted FTX's Token Assets Could Never Be Liquidated at Mark
“There was a lot of assets that they were holding that were strongly tied to the success of the FTX exchange, and which a lot of these insiders have testified would never be able to be liquidated at anywhere near the price that they were putting on their balanc…”
Prediction Held up
Molly White Predicts SBF Will Be Found Guilty, Face 10-20 Years
“Yeah, I think you will be found guilty, at least on, you know, substantial number of the charges. It's hard to say, and I'm certainly not legally qualified to. ... Yeah, so, I think that, you know, 1020 years is probably the minimum that we'll be seeing but I …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
White: Effective Altruists favor slower, methodical AI development for safety
“Effective altruism is a group of people who believe in sort of doing as much good as possible with this sort of like data driven analysis approach... And why they have largely adopted this idea that although they think we should be developing artificial intell…”
Assertion Supported
Ellison Testified SBF Requested 'Alternative Balance Sheets' to Mask Liabilities
“Caroline Ellison testified to preparing balance sheets for the company and then at Sam Bankman Free's request, preparing what he referred to as alternative balance sheets. And those were basically Copies of the balance sheet where she would move around or rena…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Effective Altruism Philosophy Will Persist Even if the Movement Rebrands
“I think that even if effective altruism under that name does not continue to exist, I think the philosophy will.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
FTX Is One of the Largest Financial Frauds in Recent History
“This is one of the largest financial frauds that we've seen in a long time.”