Prediction Held up AI assessment confidence: 98% certainty 3/5 debate potential 2/5

Molly White Predicts SBF Will Be Found Guilty, Face 10-20 Years

Molly White · SBF's Last Stand — With Molly White · Oct 19, 2023 · at 30:35

Crypto researcher Molly White offers her forecast during Sam Bankman-Fried's criminal fraud trial regarding the jury verdict and expected sentencing range.

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“Yeah, I think you will be found guilty, at least on, you know, substantial number of the charges. It's hard to say, and I'm certainly not legally qualified to. ... Yeah, so, I think that, you know, 1020 years is probably the minimum that we'll be seeing but I also think that some of the headlines that have been talking about a hundred plus years might be a little bit overstating it, just in the sense that those tend to rely on, sort of, Flawed logic around how sentencing is done. But I think, you know, there's a good chance that he spends the rest of his sort of meaningful life in prison.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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