The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Kosloff: Trump will run in 2024 and easily win GOP primary
“The thing that's weird for me, Trump is going to run. Trump easily wins the primary.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 47:18 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Held up
Kosloff predicts a U.S. TikTok ban or forced spinout is inevitable
“For me, the question isn't like, Is there gonna be some form of TikTok spin out disinvestiture ban? It's gonna happen at some point.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 54:36 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kosloff: Democrats Will Likely Suffer Historic 2022 Midterm Losses
“Look what the Democrats are gonna most likely have another set of huge historic midterm losses”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 7:13 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kosloff: US aid to Ukraine will continue as long as counteroffensives advance
“And as long as the Ukrainians are able to do that, I think the aid packages are going to be pretty straightforward and continue.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 31:58 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Assertion Partly supported
Kosloff: Blake Masters Softened Abortion Platform With Zero Conservative Backlash
“Blake Masters in June deletes pretty extreme abortion language from his website just instantly. And other than a few random Twitter users, there's zero backlash on the right.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 15:41 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
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