The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Lightcap: AI model intelligence is a function of allocated thinking time
“Intelligence really is a function of how much time the model is going to be thinking, and so depending on how much you want to allocate thinking time to a problem, you're going to get a better answer. Typically, the longer it thinks the better an answer it can…”
Lightcap: Post-training and test-time compute act as force multipliers
“And that continues to hold true, but we now have this kind of other category of training, which is post-training and being able to use test time compute in more interesting ways than we used to as almost kind of a second stage of training. And so we think that…”
Lightcap: Real-world benchmarks matter more than academic tests for AI intelligence
“And so that's for us, I think the real world benchmark is increasingly becoming important. As a sign of intelligence relative to the academic benchmarks.”
Lightcap: Smarter AI models require more complex product engineering to operationalize
“As the models get smarter, they almost demand more from a product building perspective in terms of how you actually plug them into the system. I always kind of roughly analogize it to like, you could have a really, really smart intern. And you know, At the end…”