The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
The first 100 error-corrected qubits on fast architectures will arrive by 2028
“I think you'll see in 20, 27, 20, 28, the first hundred air created qubits on fast machines.”
Quantum computers will have enough qubits to break standard encryption around 2040
“In around 2040, we think there'll be enough qubits to start to break encryption, and secrets last longer than that.”
Real autonomous driving will start to emerge over the next five years
“I think you'll start to see real autonomous driving over the next five years. You know, maybe I'll be burned by that prediction.”
The federal government will consolidate fragmented citizen payment and tax systems
“You know, I think there's a lot of places where citizen services could be much better. Through consolidation, making it easier to do your taxes, easier to make payments easier to get payments from the government those kinds of things. And I think you're going …”