The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Plummer: Foundation model providers will not see ROI for 2–3 years
“The business models, but these technologies are so transformative that the ability to actually crack open AGI or something that even resembles something close to the power of that is so transformative for the economy that this is a real long game that they're …”
Ben Plummer Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 1:32 How AI Will Improve Business Efficiency and Productivity In the Workplace – With Ben Plummer
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Plummer: Every business process will eventually transition to fully autonomous AI execution
“I think about it like a glide path, right? Where in the early days you might have the humans doing a hundred percent of the work, and then over time you start to have the model maybe suggest what the person might want to pick or come up with ideas in a sort of…”
Ben Plummer Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 18:08 How AI Will Improve Business Efficiency and Productivity In the Workplace – With Ben Plummer
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Plummer: Massive corporate headcounts will become a liability against AI-powered teams
“I do think directionally, this is very right that these technologies and companies like invisible will enable you to build really powerful global companies that are able to compete with others that have You know, thousands, hundreds of thousands of employees v…”
Ben Plummer Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 27:40 How AI Will Improve Business Efficiency and Productivity In the Workplace – With Ben Plummer
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Plummer: Complex autonomous AI agents are probably a couple of years away
“What we haven't really seen is the ability to sort of hand that meta problem and have the AI go sort of oversee and execute that work, handle changes in the face of disruptions. Those types of things, I think, were probably a couple of years away, but you'll s…”
Ben Plummer Sep 5, 2024 ▶ 7:57 How AI Will Improve Business Efficiency and Productivity In the Workplace – With Ben Plummer
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