The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gardizy: Around 50% of AI data center projects will miss completion deadlines
“But on on projects that are actually getting built, I do think, you know, 50% not really getting done on time is is, you know, what I would expect.”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 1:00 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Gardizy: OpenAI will not deploy 10 gigawatts of data centers within two years
“Like, even if you think of OpenAI, for example, announcing a 10 gigawatt project, you know, we're not going to see 10 gigawatts in the next couple of years, or they're going to sort of spread out that bet.”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 1:17 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2028
Gardizi: OpenAI will not deploy 10 gigawatts in the next few years
“Even if you think of open AI, for example, announcing a 10 gigawatt project you know, we're not going to see 10 gigawatts in the next couple of years, or they're going to sort of spread out that bet.”
Anissa Gardizy Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 42:40 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
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