Prediction Open AI assessment confidence: 85% certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Gardizi: OpenAI will not deploy 10 gigawatts in the next few years

Anissa Gardizy · Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast · Jun 26, 2026 · at 42:40

Anissa Gardizi, AI infrastructure reporter at The Information, discusses the feasibility of multi-gigawatt data center expansion commitments made by frontier AI labs.

0:00 / 0:10exact quote · 10.7s
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“Even if you think of open AI, for example, announcing a 10 gigawatt project you know, we're not going to see 10 gigawatts in the next couple of years, or they're going to sort of spread out that bet.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

More from Anissa Gardizy

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gardizy: Around 50% of AI data center projects will miss completion deadlines
“But on on projects that are actually getting built, I do think, you know, 50% not really getting done on time is is, you know, what I would expect.”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 1:00 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2028
Gardizy: OpenAI will not deploy 10 gigawatts of data centers within two years
“Like, even if you think of OpenAI, for example, announcing a 10 gigawatt project, you know, we're not going to see 10 gigawatts in the next couple of years, or they're going to sort of spread out that bet.”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 1:17 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Assertion Supported
Gardizy: OpenAI Is Developing In-House Chips and Using Cerebras Hardware
“Yeah, yeah, they are. They're using chips from other companies. Cerebris is a good example, and they have their own in-house chip.”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 10:12 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Assertion Supported
Gardizi: OpenAI uses alternative chips and develops in-house silicon to diversify
“They're using chips from other companies. Cerebris is a good example, and they have their own in-house chip. So I think maybe publicly they're doing some big announcements with NVIDIA, and I believe it's five gigawatts they have to deploy in the next couple of…”
Anissa Gardizy Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 51:36 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gardizy: Non-NVIDIA Chips Often Need Financial Backstops for Data Center Entry
“And in the instances that I'm seeing where there are non Nvidia chips, it's because of some sort of financial backstop. So I do wonder how much how long that will have to keep being the case, because that will definitely hinder non Nvidia chips if they need Sp…”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 9:35 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gardizy: Major NVIDIA customers are actively working to adopt alternative chips
“Every single company that buys NVIDIA chips and is spending a lot of money on NVIDIA chips is trying really hard to make these other, other chips work, whether it's in-house chips from Google or Amazon or even in OpenAI's case and potentially Anthropik's case.”
Anissa Gardizy Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 8:21 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
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