The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Roy: Proposed $14B TikTok US buyout will not go through
“I don't think it's going to happen. Fourteen billion versus forty billion. And we don't actually have confirmation from Xi Jinping or from any one on the Chinese side.”
Ranjan Roy Sep 29, 2025 ▶ 52:37 OpenAI’s & NVIDIA's $100 Billion Marriage, Meta’s Sloppy Vibes, TikTok Deal Arrives?
Prediction Partly held up
Kantrowitz: Apple and Google will ban TikTok before Trump instantly restores it
“This is my hottest of all takes, which is That the app stores are forced to ban TikTok on January, and then Trump day one says, put it back. So there, it's gone for like a half hour.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 32:17 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Prediction Held up
Kosloff predicts a U.S. TikTok ban or forced spinout is inevitable
“For me, the question isn't like, Is there gonna be some form of TikTok spin out disinvestiture ban? It's gonna happen at some point.”
Marshall Kosloff Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 54:36 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Enjeti: Biden administration will not ban TikTok due to youth backlash
“I don't think the Biden administration is the balls to ban it. I really just don't. I mean, everything that I've seen you know, they did the Huawei thing. That's cute. Everybody knows Huawei is a Chinese spy operation. I just don't think that they're willing t…”
Saagar Enjeti Nov 6, 2022 ▶ 53:15 Saagar Enjeti and Marshall Kosloff on Midterms, Trump, Economy, and Ukraine
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Facebook's own research showed passive media consumption harms users
“Even Facebook's own research shows that passive media consumption leaves people worse off. And that's why they went through this whole moment to do meaningful social interactions, but they ended up pivoting right back to this TikTok style of media.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 29, 2024 ▶ 14:22 Yubo Wants To Replace Performative Social Media With Real Time Social Discovery
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