The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 154 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Doshi: Satya Nadella is brilliantly bringing all AI models onto Azure
“If you observe very carefully, he is actually partnering with everybody. He is bringing all the models into Azure, right? And he's doing it very methodically, and I think that he is really setting up Azure to be to leap and be a lot more competitive.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 58:57 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Opinion
Goldman: Altman's firing is a problem for Microsoft
“I do think it's a problem for Microsoft if he's gone for, you know, again, it raises questions, you know, again, Satya Nadella was with Sam Altman on stage at Dev Day, touting their relationship that they'd be building AGI together. The fact that if it becomes…”
Sharon Goldman Nov 18, 2023 ▶ 20:40 Emergency Podcast: Sam Altman Fired At OpenAI
Assertion Supported
Nemade: Bing gained only about 1% market share post-ChatGPT
“Bing maybe gained, like, one percent market share before and after ChatGPT.”
Gaurav Nemade Oct 30, 2023 ▶ 40:50 Why Google Never Shipped LaMDA Its ChatGPT Predecessor
What-if
Ramaswamy: Google open-sourced Transformers in 2017 to prevent top researchers from leaving
“If you had told these people at that time that they could not publish, they would have gone and worked for universities, they would have gone and worked for Microsoft, they would have gone and worked for other people.”
Sridhar Ramaswamy Sep 6, 2023 ▶ 24:17 Google’s Weird Year + Neeva Goes to Snowflake — With Sridhar Ramaswamy
Insight
Khoshniyati: Early IoT era was an 'Internet of Devices', not things
“Internet of Things, when it launched, and it was before the COVID times, it excited everybody, but truly the understanding of it really wasn't stabilized yet. So everyone was using the coin term, But the reality was we were just moving from every type of devic…”
Amir Khoshniyati Jul 20, 2026 ▶ 1:44 Inside The Rise of Physical AI — With Amir Khoshniyati
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Microsoft Is Merging Consumer and Enterprise Copilot Apps
“Microsoft is now emerging its consumer and enterprise co-pilot apps. Into a new unified app that will feature AI coding tools and new AI agents that customers would need to pay extra for.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 6, 2026 ▶ 1:57 Who Wins The AI Superapp Battle?, Apple’s Consumer AI Victory, World Cup Automation Mistake
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Azure grows 40% quarterly while Google Cloud grows 62%
“Even though Azure has grown 40% a quarter, which is absurd, I guess, until you start to think that Google's grown 62% a quarter, albeit on a smaller base,”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 11:32 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
Assertion Supported
Anthropic previews Mythos model to around 50 critical infrastructure organizations
“The company is making a preview model of its new AI model called Mythos, available to about 50 companies and organizations that maintain critical infrastructure, including Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and the Linux Foundation.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 1:59 Anthropic’s Mythos Dilemma, Violence Against AI, Tokenmaxxing at Meta
Assertion Supported
Suleyman: 80% of the S&P 500 runs on Microsoft Azure and M365
“So the idea that a three trillion dollar company with three hundred billion dollars of revenue and 80% of the S&P 500 on our Azure stack and M three five stack you know, could depend on a third party. This it's, you know, just in perpetuity. It doesn't make se…”
Mustafa Suleyman Nov 12, 2025 ▶ 28:02 Could LLMs Be The Route To Superintelligence? — With Mustafa Suleyman
Assertion Supported
Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release
“NVIDIA down 10%, Microsoft down four percent. Google down three percent meta down 2.6% SMP down two percent. So this is all based off of this deep seek reckoning or this deep seek realization.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 21:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
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