The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 5 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Siegler: Apple services will overtake the iPhone within a decade
“I think at some point in the next decade, services will pass the iPhone as the largest business for Apple.”
M.G. Siegler Dec 1, 2025 ▶ 16:40 Tim Cook’s Final Year?, Big Tech Horse Race, Anthropic’s Profitability Push
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2027
Roy: Apple's Services revenue will eventually surpass its iPhone revenue
“I think it's gonna happen. I mean, after the announcement of the 16, I think I think it's probably gonna be sooner rather than later”
Ranjan Roy Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 35:07 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Apple Will Likely Raise iPhone Prices to Fund Its AI Buildout
“They're probably going to raise prices on iPhone, and it would be much better to do so and increase your margin because of you know, the AI build out then potentially, you know, you just having a hunger for more margins and more money.”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 15:09 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Siegler: Apple will raise upcoming iPhone prices by $100 to $200
“My best guess, and I've written about this is sort of, I I'm sort of angling towards the 100 to 200 dollar price raise for all the devices, obviously depending on what the device is and how much RAM and if it's a pro model or whatnot.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 18:20 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Siegler: Apple will eventually merge hardware subscriptions into Apple One
“It's not baked into apple one right now, but you can see them eventually merging it. And you being like in this whole ecosystem of just paying apple a monthly fee for all of your different services, like. Cloud and the iPhone itself.”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 31:57 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
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