The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kantrowitz: Google Cloud Will Sell OpenAI Models Within Months
“I think Google Cloud is going to start selling open AI models within the next couple of months based off of, you know, just kind of a hunch, right? So they're going to be the infrastructure layer that enables all three big models.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 21:52 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
Assertion Supported
Roy: 150 Google Cloud AI customers generate only $150M in token revenue
“Sundar basically like proudly saying, a 150 Google cloud customers processed one trillion tokens and then had some kind of standard case study metrics about email open rates and stuff like creating campaign efficiency. But when you actually map out the numbers…”
Ranjan Roy Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 50:15 OpenAI and Microsoft’s Grand Bargain, Sam Altman’s Next Three Years, A New Humanoid Robot
Assertion Supported
Siegler: OpenAI owes Microsoft rev share even on AWS and Google
“While Microsoft no longer has to pay revenue share back to open AI still has to pay it to Microsoft and they have to pay it even when they're using AWS or potentially Google in the future.”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 40:22 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
Prediction Held up
Kantrowitz: OpenAI Models Are Coming to Google Cloud Platform Soon
“And I anticipate, and you know, given my conversations that I've had with Thomas Curry and the head of Google cloud platform, that it will come to Google fairly soon as well. He wants it there.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 5, 2026 ▶ 36:02 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
Assertion Supported
Kurian: Google Cloud reduced AI inference costs 20x in 2024
“Like if you look at just 2024, we've reduced the cost of inferencing, and you can see it in our prices of the models by a factor of 20 times.”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 25:00 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Prediction Held up
Kurian: Cloud adoption will definitely surpass 50% of IT workloads
“We definitely see it getting north of 50%.”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 52:34 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Assertion Contradicted
Kurian: No enterprise software company grew faster than Google Cloud since 2019
“And to grow from the scale we were in 2019 to where we are now, No other enterprise software company has grown that fast, and that's a credit to our sales organization.”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 50:09 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Assertion Partly supported
Kurian: Google's AI Assistant for Verizon Call Centers Achieves 96% Accuracy
“We've helped them build something called a personal research assistant, so that if I am a call center person, and you call me saying, here is my set of issues, and we can, how long does it take to research that information and put it back in front of you, so t…”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 37:33 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Assertion Supported
Google Cloud achieved 63 percent growth to reach $20 billion quarterly
“Here we have a clear 63% growth to twenty billion dollars in a quarter for Google Cloud is nuts.”
Ranjan Roy May 4, 2026 ▶ 41:54 OpenAI’s User Growth Miss, Musk vs. Altman In Court, Prediction Market Ban
Assertion Supported
Kurian: Google Cloud offers 200 models on its platform
“We offer 200 models in our platform.”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 7:53 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Assertion Partly supported
AES cut end-of-quarter audits from 14 days to one hour using AI
“A company called AES. It's a energy utility. It's an energy company. It builds you know, and delivers energy different parts of the world. It used to take them 14 days to run their end of quarter audit. They do it in one hour now.”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 38:23 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
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