The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 112 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Saint-Marc: Cisco Outshift collaborates with Google on agent identity standards
“We work also very closely with Google on this and the A to A group. We are very active here.”
Guillaume de Saint-Marc Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 12:54 How AI Agent Swarms Might Be AI's Next Leap — With Guillaume de Saint-Marc
Assertion Supported
Anthropic previews Mythos model to around 50 critical infrastructure organizations
“The company is making a preview model of its new AI model called Mythos, available to about 50 companies and organizations that maintain critical infrastructure, including Amazon, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, and the Linux Foundation.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 1:59 Anthropic’s Mythos Dilemma, Violence Against AI, Tokenmaxxing at Meta
Assertion Supported
Moore: Google has four standalone products on a16z's top AI list
“Like Google has four standalone products on our list, which if you had told me that 24 months ago when like Bard came out, the early version of Gemini, I would not have believed you.”
Olivia Moore Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 50:07 AI’s Unpopularity + Competing With ChatGPT — With Olivia Moore
Assertion Supported
Manyika: Google releases new Gemini model generations every five to six months
“We now kind of on the cycle that Gemini models where every five, six months, there's the latest generation.”
James Manyika Feb 18, 2026 ▶ 26:55 How Google DeepMind Operates & Experiments — With Lila Ibrahim and James Manyika
Assertion Supported
Albergati: Meta Tried to Acquire DeepMind Before Google Did
“Meta, you know, they were so early on AI, they tried to acquire DeepMind, you know, before Google did and then sort of just lost focus on it.”
Reed Albergotti Dec 24, 2025 ▶ 6:05 2025 In Review, 2026 Predictions: Meta, NVIDIA, Tesla, OpenAI, Google, Microsoft
Assertion Contradicted
Roy: Google Gemini is leveraging 1.8 quadrillion tokens
“And again, like, I think what I saw was at Google. It was like 1.8 quadrillion tokens now being leveraged by Gemini.”
Ranjan Roy Oct 13, 2025 ▶ 34:00 AGI or Bust, OpenAI’s $1 Trillion Gamble, Apple’s Next CEO?
Assertion Supported
Google Has Lowest P/E Ratio Among Magnificent Seven Companies
“They're still the cheapest tech giant on the S and P 500 or of the magnificent seven, when you look at the PE ratio.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 8, 2025 ▶ 29:13 Google’s Best Week Ever, AI’s Rising Costs, Putin and Xi’s Immortality Quest
Assertion Contradicted
Kantrowitz: Gemini 2.5 Pro and OpenAI o3 Tied at Top of LMSYS Leaderboard
“I'm looking at LM Arena right now. Number one model. It's actually a tie between Gemini, 2.5 pro and OpenAI's O-three. OpenAI takes the next couple of spots with chat GPT-Four-O latest and 4.5 preview.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 4:01 Countdown to GPT-5, OpenAI’s Stargate Sputters, AI Math Wars
Assertion Supported
Kurian: Google built an open agent-to-agent protocol and dev kit
“So what we've done at Google is build an agent development kit, which has an API through which you can, one, create agents. We provide you a tool set to do it. We provide you a set of tools that these agents can use, but we also have an open agent to agent pro…”
Thomas Kurian Apr 9, 2025 ▶ 45:14 Google Cloud CEO Thomas Kurian on AI Competition, Agents, And Tariffs
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits
“Google's Gemini web traffic grew to 10.9 million average daily visits worldwide in March. That's up seven, four, 7.4% month over month, while daily visits to Copilot, that's Microsoft's bot, Increased to 2.4 million, up 2.1% from February. SimilarWeb also says…”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 2, 2025 ▶ 19:44 OpenAI Raises $40 billion, Is AI a Letdown?, Musk Sells X to xAI
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Google plans $75B in 2025 capex, up from $32.3B in 2023
“The company is planning to spend seventy five billion on expenditures like growing its family of AI models this year. That's a considerable jump from the 32.3 billion on capex it spent in 2023.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 46:08 Boom Times For ChatGPT, OpenAI’s Deep Research, AI Super Bowl
Assertion Supported
Tech stocks plunged in pre-market trading after DeepSeek R1's release
“NVIDIA down 10%, Microsoft down four percent. Google down three percent meta down 2.6% SMP down two percent. So this is all based off of this deep seek reckoning or this deep seek realization.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 27, 2025 ▶ 21:50 How DeepSeek Changes AI Research & Silicon Valley w/ M.G. Siegler
Assertion Supported
Mayer: Susan Wojcicki sourced Sundar Pichai before Mayer's committee hired him
“Susan Wojcicki hired Sundar. She was the head of ads. I was the head of search in product management... Susan sourced him. We hired him through the product management hiring committee of which I ran.”
Marissa Mayer Apr 15, 2024 ▶ 38:15 Why Marissa Mayer Is Betting Big On Consumer Tech
Assertion Supported
Google explored using its LaMDA chatbot for gaming NPCs but never shipped
“I spoke with the founding product manager of Lambda, which is Google's original chatbot, and he said to me that they were exploring some use cases around how technology like that could be used for powering NPCs within games. The smartest minds built the origin…”
Alex Kantrowitz Nov 23, 2023 ▶ 16:41 AI Keynote: Six Bold Predictions About The Future Of Artificial Intelligence
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Neeva has raised $77.5 million to challenge Google
“It's raised 77.5 million dollars and is going after a tech giant's bread and butter.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 6, 2021 ▶ 0:20 Why Ex-Google Ads Boss Sridhar Ramaswamy is Building An Ads-Free Search Engine
Assertion Supported
Google adopted BERT and MUM early to build AI search capabilities
“Generative AI is an example we were doing, you know, we had Bert, we had mum as ranking improvements way back in the early days, really as the technology was new, that enables us to get our feet wet with it.”
Nick Fox Aug 27, 2025 ▶ 2:33 Inside Google's Generative AI Reinvention — With Nick Fox and Liz Reid
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