The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Morris: Microsoft disclosed 45% of future Azure contracts are tied to OpenAI
“They revealed that they booked ten billion cash gain from the amount of cash OpenAI has on this balance sheet due to all these, like, huge fundraisings that they're doing. But they also said that 45% of their future Azure contracts were based on OpenAI.”
Stephen Morris Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 27:27 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Assertion Supported
Luria: Roughly half of Microsoft's AI revenue comes from OpenAI
“Half of their AI revenue approximately which is again, a big piece of the Azure growth, which is the biggest piece of Microsoft's growth, is coming from OpenAI.”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 40:10 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Assertion Supported
Siegler: OpenAI products must ship first on Azure under deal terms
“Microsoft remains open as primary cloud partner. And open AI products will ship first on Azure, unless Microsoft cannot and chooses not to support the necessary capabilities.”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 42:13 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Anthropic Is Giving Microsoft Mythos Only to Test, Not Resell
“Anthropic isn't giving Microsoft mythos to sell through Azure. It's giving Microsoft mythos to test.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 22:27 Anthropic’s Mythos Dilemma, Violence Against AI, Tokenmaxxing at Meta
Assertion Supported
Roy: OpenAI Committed to $250B in Additional Azure Cloud Purchases
“The deal has open AI committing to purchase an additional two hundred fifty billion dollars worth of Azure cloud computing services.”
Ranjan Roy Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 5:26 OpenAI and Microsoft’s Grand Bargain, Sam Altman’s Next Three Years, A New Humanoid Robot
Assertion Partly supported
Guthrie: ChatGPT Runs on Azure as World's Largest Consumer App
“We've got the world's largest consumer application with ChatGPT that runs on top of Azure, and we have thousands hundreds of thousands and millions of businesses that are also building their own AI applications on top of us.”
Scott Guthrie Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 7:23 Microsoft's Cloud & AI Head on the AI Buildout's Risks and ROI — With Scott Guthrie
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Azure grows 40% quarterly while Google Cloud grows 62%
“Even though Azure has grown 40% a quarter, which is absurd, I guess, until you start to think that Google's grown 62% a quarter, albeit on a smaller base,”
Alex Kantrowitz May 18, 2026 ▶ 11:32 Satya Nadella’s OpenAI Concerns, Google’s Next AI Model, The AI Monet Prank
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