The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Kantrowitz: Apple and Google will ban TikTok before Trump instantly restores it
“This is my hottest of all takes, which is That the app stores are forced to ban TikTok on January, and then Trump day one says, put it back. So there, it's gone for like a half hour.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jan 5, 2025 ▶ 32:17 Bold Predictions For Tech and AI in 2025 — With Casey Newton
Assertion Supported
Roy: Apple generates an estimated $30B from App Store payment fees
“Thirty billion. Thirty billion. That's the estimated revenue from the, directly from the payment side of it.”
Ranjan Roy May 5, 2025 ▶ 45:48 The ‘AI-First Company,’ Big Tech Mega Earnings, NVIDIA vs. Anthropic
Assertion Supported
Sorkin: Apple App Store fee terms have only stayed flat or decreased
“In fact, at Apple, the terms have actually only gotten better, right? They've, first of all, they've either been at 30% or in some cases they've since come down.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Jun 16, 2021 ▶ 40:49 Andrew Ross Sorkin on Meme Stocks, Bitcoin, SPACs, and Elon Musk
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Claude reached number one in the App Store
“Claude is now the number one app in the app store, which is wild.”
M.G. Siegler Mar 4, 2026 ▶ 26:58 Dario’s Choice and Anthropic’s Future, Apple’s AI Devices, Netflix Loses WBD
Assertion Supported
Sora reached number one on the Apple App Store
“It's the number one app on the App Store.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 4, 2025 ▶ 2:08 Sora 2 & AI’s Slop Era, Death Of The Creator Economy?, Apple’s SmartGlasses Roadmap
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