why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Prince: App stores and Facebook damaged the open web
“And the app store in some ways was an enormous threat to the web. Like it took people away from the web. It was probably one of the biggest, between it and Facebook were like the two biggest forces that really made the web less interesting.”
Prediction Partly held up
Kantrowitz: Apple and Google will ban TikTok before Trump instantly restores it
“This is my hottest of all takes, which is That the app stores are forced to ban TikTok on January, and then Trump day one says, put it back. So there, it's gone for like a half hour.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: System-level AI integration threatens Apple's 30% App Store revenue cut
“Otherwise they're basically eliminating apps or the need for apps. To enhance their products, and they're not gonna get that 30% cut anymore.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sorkin: Forcing multiple App Stores on iPhone will make hardware more expensive
“Let's say there was now multiple app stores in the iPhone. What happens? It just means that the hardware will get more expensive. That's a good point. It'll get passed on to you.”
Assertion Supported
Roy: Apple generates an estimated $30B from App Store payment fees
“Thirty billion. Thirty billion. That's the estimated revenue from the, directly from the payment side of it.”
Assertion Supported
Sorkin: Apple App Store fee terms have only stayed flat or decreased
“In fact, at Apple, the terms have actually only gotten better, right? They've, first of all, they've either been at 30% or in some cases they've since come down.”
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Claude reached number one in the App Store
“Claude is now the number one app in the app store, which is wild.”
Assertion Supported
Sora reached number one on the Apple App Store
“It's the number one app on the App Store.”