The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: OpenAI deal includes warrants for 10% of AMD at one cent per share
“Part of this, OpenAI will receive warrants for up to a hundred sixty million AMD shares worth roughly 10% of the chip company at one cent per share awarded in phases if OpenAI hits certain milestones for deployment.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 6:54 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Opinion
Kantrowitz: AI market exuberance is a red flag amid slow enterprise adoption
“Like this exuberance in the stock market is based off of infrastructure spend and not revenue. It's all based off of revenue projections. And those rep revenue projections are extremely aggressive, especially when you consider the fact that enterprises are mov…”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 11:39 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Opinion
Siegler: Minor AI slowdown could trigger systemic debt collapse
“If a slowdown happens in, in several of, on several of these fronts on any number of, sorry, I should say on any one of these, like several fronts that are going right now, it can start like, it seems like it would start a cascading effect that would potential…”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 14:19 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Opinion
Siegler: Equity concessions have become table stakes in AI chip deals
“So it's like, it all feels like the same sort of general playbook, just being executed in different ways where it's like now all of a sudden ownership is sort of table stakes to these deals, right? Even when it's a company that's a, that's technically still a …”
M.G. Siegler Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 8:19 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
Disclosure
Gelsinger: Intel aims to manufacture chips for Nvidia, AMD, and hyperscalers
“You know, we're also going to be a foundry. We're going to be the manufacturer for many of those chips as well. So we want to be the manufacturer for Nvidia, for AMD, for Google, for Amazon. We want to be their manufacturing partner, even if we're not using ou…”
Pat Gelsinger Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 4:36 Intel's CEO Shares His Plan To Win The AI Chip War — With Pat Gelsinger
Prediction Held up
Gelsinger: Intel, AMD, and Nvidia will be AI's three big merchant providers
“There's going to be those that build their own, you know, and that's what you see Amazon, Microsoft, Google are doing. They're going to say, hey, I'm going to own this and do this myself. And then there's going to be the general providers in the marketplace, a…”
Pat Gelsinger Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 5:20 Intel's CEO Shares His Plan To Win The AI Chip War — With Pat Gelsinger
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: OpenAI committed to purchasing 6 GW of AMD chips starting next year
“Under the terms of the deal, OpenAI committed to purchasing six gigawatts worth of AMD chips starting next year.”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 6, 2025 ▶ 6:29 OpenAI and AMD's Megadeal, Sam Altman and Jony Ive’s Bumpy Start. Meta vs. Apple
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