The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

2resolved → 0open claims → 1supported → 1contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up

Brown: 2024 election will likely yield divided government, boosting stocks

“It looks like actually the outcome's gonna be still up in the air, but probably lead to a divided government, which is positive for stocks, historically where no one party gets to do a lot of Weird shit in either direction.”

Josh Brown Oct 16, 2024 ▶ 51:15 Fear Buying AI & Automation Stocks — With Downtown Josh Brown

Prediction Held up

Brown: Fed will probably cut interest rates again in weeks

“The Fed has done its first interest rate cut, and they started off with a double cut, and they'll probably do another one in a couple weeks”

Josh Brown Oct 16, 2024 ▶ 51:15 Fear Buying AI & Automation Stocks — With Downtown Josh Brown

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The Ledger

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