GitHub CEO Thomas Domke explains why generative AI will not eliminate code, comparing AI to historical abstraction layers like compilers and assembly.
Insight
Large-scale software development with AI still requires expert human architects
“For small projects, you can probably you know, get there even without a lot of computer science, computer engineering knowledge for larger projects. I think the step missing is the architect, you know, the software engineering expert that knows which database …”
Insight
AI creates more work for developers, not less
“In fact, I'd say, you know, AI has created more work for developers because now somebody has to build all these AI systems, and we're not
At all at a point where you can just, you know, have an AI engineer, quote unquote do the job of a human, like that doesn'…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
AI will write 80% of all code by 2027
“I believe so. Yeah. I said actually two years ago at a conference that my prediction back then was 80% of code is going to be written by AI in five years. So I guess I have three years to go to, for that to become true.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Global software developers will reach one billion by 2030
“And I think AI is going to accelerate that massively. And, you know, one billion developers by 2030 or so is a little bit under 10% of the population, depending on where the world's population is going. That's actually a low number if you think about it, becau…”
Opinion
A one-person, billion-dollar company is feasible
“I think so. I think that, you know, the, you know, I've seen a bunch of examples where small companies like Instagram comes to mind, you know, that, that started really small and by the time they got acquired, they were still very small. WhatsApp is a similar …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
GitHub's support Copilot resolves 50% of customer questions without human escalation
“And we see that the number of tickets that get solved that way
is about 50%. So, you know, 50% of those questions that go through the support co-pilot get solved by the support co-pilot and do not get submitted into, to a human.”