“What I do expect is, you know, within two or three years, most likely, I think the. Majority of new car sales will transition to vehicles where people don't have to drive because once you have that choice, I have a hard time believing that people are going to go to a dealership or go online or whatever and buy a car where they have to drive all the time versus one where they can choose.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
(the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Kyle Vogt
PredictionDidn’t hold up
Vogt: Cruise will sustain 10X annual fleet growth for the foreseeable future
“Next year it'll be thousands. And then it'll kind of continue. At least 10 X growth every year for their foreseeable future.”
Kyle VogtOct 6, 2023▶ 4:47Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
PredictionNot checkable as stated
Vogt: Human-driven ridesharing will be remembered as a flawed social experiment
“I think we will look back at, you know, right now is kind of like a flawed social experiment, you know, gone wrong with human driven ride share.”
Kyle VogtOct 6, 2023▶ 10:12Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
Insight
Vogt: Data volume is not the primary bottleneck in building autonomous vehicles
“Well, look, if data was the only constraint to making a driverless car, I think there would be a lot more driverless cars out there than there are. It's a lot more than data. Like cruise is not data starved, even with, you know, hundreds of vehicles on the roa…”
Kyle VogtOct 6, 2023▶ 18:03Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
Opinion
Vogt: Driver assistance and robotaxis share no parallel and cannot be compared
“But again, like there's no parallel. They're not the same thing, like a system that's driver assistance where you have to take control. Versus one where you have cars driving around without a driver. And that really doesn't come to light until you actually try…”
Kyle VogtOct 6, 2023▶ 18:53Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
Insight
Vogt: Robotaxi unit economics dramatically beat human drivers at thousands of vehicles
“So the unit economics aren't great at hundreds of vehicles. They start to get pretty interesting at thousands. And then, you know, above that the advantage versus a human ride share driver is, is pretty dramatic actually.”
Kyle VogtOct 6, 2023▶ 16:19Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
AssertionSupported
Vogt: Cruise AVs cut total crashes by 50% compared to human drivers
“Just from the first million we saw a 50% reduction in, in any kind of crash. And over a 70% reduction in the kinds of crashes that Could lead to injury.”
Kyle VogtOct 6, 2023▶ 35:14Cruise CEO Kyle Vogt — Self Driving Cars Will 10X Every Year
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