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The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Every prediction date that has already passed, checked against the public record: green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly held up. Diamonds at the right edge were assessed before their prediction date arrived.

2held up → 0didn’t hold up → 0partly held up →
100%of resolved predictions held up
Everyone Alex Kantrowitz (38)M.G. Siegler (14)Ranjan Roy (6)Mustafa Suleyman (5)Aaron Levie (5)Yann LeCun (3)Tom Eggemeier (3)Stephen Morris (3)Peter Diamandis (3)Noland Arbaugh (3)Matthew Prince (3)Geoffrey Hinton (3)
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The record (2) every resolved claim →

Prediction Held up
Prince: Google Paying Publishers for AI Scraping Is Inevitable
“I don't know if they'll pay up before the deadline, but I think it's inevitable that they'll pay up. Because again, I think that they need the content and they understand fundamentally that journalists and content creators and academics deserve to eat.”
Matthew Prince Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 36:31 Cloudflare CEO: We're Ready To Block Millions of Websites From AI — With Matthew Prince
Prediction Held up
Prince: AI will generate hyper-customized podcasts in personalized voices
“We're going to want to have hyper-customized podcasts that are in exactly the voice that we find the most reassuring and AIs are going to create that for us.”
Matthew Prince Aug 13, 2025 ▶ 20:52 Can We Save The Web From AI? — With Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince
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