The Exchanges

Every argument clarity score on this site is built from rows on this page. Each question and answer was assessed with names hidden, the host's own answers included, on four things from 1 to 5: directness (does it answer the question asked), coherence (do the ideas follow), precision (concrete details and clear references), compression (says a lot per word). The weighted mix (30/30/25/15) is the exchange score. A person's published score averages their exchange scores on raw tape only, at least 8 of them, shrunk toward the cohort mean. Full method →

Norman Winarski no published score: only 1 usable exchange on raw tape, and a fair score needs 8+ record → ← everyone

Every exchange below was scored with names hidden, four dimensions each from 1 to 5. An exchange's score is 0.30·directness + 0.30·coherence + 0.25·precision + 0.15·compression. The published score averages the raw tape exchange scores and shrinks small samples toward the cohort mean, so five great answers can't beat twenty good ones. Produced feed rows count only toward coarse estimates, never toward a full score.

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1exchanges match
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Answered raw tape D 5 · C 5 · P 4 · Cm 4 4.60

Q goal is to create effectively omniscient artificial intelligence, what am I doing? Because Eventually, isn't the sort of God models from OpenAI, from Anthropic, just going to subsume and do what I'm trying to do anyway? Why would I be building? I mean, what do you think about this? Is there, is there some conflict there? Do you think that these model builders will eventually just subsume all AI startups?

A There's certainly a risk that the model builders will Can, uh, dominate the industries, particular industries that, that their models are most effective if that's their goal. There's a great risk. And also those model builders are spending tens of, or hundreds of millions of dollars per training and exercise and, and in order to get to the point where these models are effective in solving these problems. So you can imagine a world where the five or so companies in the world can kind of dominate everything. That's one dystopian world. Then there's another world, more like Sifu was talking about, where there's Uh, there's an infrastructure that's been created and from that infrastructure, many companies will dominate vertical areas. Why will they dominate verticals in, in, in particular industries? Because they're going to have the data and the expertise and the focus on specific consumer segments that are going to be most effective at reaching those consumer segments. So from my point of view, I believe that these big companies will never try to focus sufficiently on the market verticals that will really make a huge difference to that particular market, and so the industry will flourish in each of these individual markets.

AI assessment note: “I believe that these big companies will never try to focus sufficiently on the market verticals”

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