The Exchanges

Every argument clarity score on this site is built from rows on this page. Each question and answer was assessed with names hidden, the host's own answers included, on four things from 1 to 5: directness (does it answer the question asked), coherence (do the ideas follow), precision (concrete details and clear references), compression (says a lot per word). The weighted mix (30/30/25/15) is the exchange score. A person's published score averages their exchange scores on raw tape only, at least 8 of them, shrunk toward the cohort mean. Full method →

Anissa Gardizy no published score: only 2 usable exchanges on raw tape, and a fair score needs 8+ record → ← everyone

Every exchange below was scored with names hidden, four dimensions each from 1 to 5. An exchange's score is 0.30·directness + 0.30·coherence + 0.25·precision + 0.15·compression. The published score averages the raw tape exchange scores and shrinks small samples toward the cohort mean, so five great answers can't beat twenty good ones. Produced feed rows count only toward coarse estimates, never toward a full score.

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Answered raw tape D 5 · C 5 · P 5 · Cm 4 4.85

Q on a variety of different chips. And once people, once these labs train their models and they're happy with their models, most of the computing is going to go to these inference chips. And therefore, even if Nvidia has a bet there, there's not going to be able to sustain their dominance. Is that what do you think about that? Is that a potential flaw in the armor for Nvidia?

A I think it is a flaw, and I think there is, if anyone's going to sort of attack NVIDIA's dominance, they're going to do it on inference, like you said, and there is sort of a massive effort underway right now to make all inference chips under the sun work well, and so every single company that buys NVIDIA chips and is spending a lot of money on NVIDIA chips is trying really hard to make these other, other chips work, whether it's in-house chips from Google or Amazon or even in OpenAI's case and potentially Anthropik's case. You know, do we make our own inference chip? Um, so I'd have a hard time, you know, believing that none of those chips are going to pan out. But, you know, they might not tackle the bulk of the inference workload even. But then again, even if they do 10% of your inference, maybe you're saving enough money that you think the effort is worth it. And it gives you negotiating leverage with Nvidia. If they know that you have an in-house chip team, you know, Jensen's going to be a little bit worried when negotiating with you when you're playing hardball with him. So I think everyone's going to have to have an inference chip Answer to Nvidia. But when I talk to data center companies about what they're seeing, you know, some data center companies don't really care what chip goes inside of their data center, but they try to get hints from the companies that they're w…

AI assessment note: “I think it is a flaw, and I think there is, if anyone's going”

Answered raw tape D 5 · C 5 · P 4 · Cm 4 4.60

Q So, um, let's start here. There's there have been headlines that, um, of the announced AI data centers that are supposed to come up, something like 50% of them are actually being built. Is that the case? And if so, why? Anissa, do you want to lead us off?

A Sure. I totally believe that statistic, and I think it might actually be higher if you include announcements because of all the planned data centers that are underway. I think it's highly likely that many will be delayed due to higher costs, how hard it is to get labor. But then the number that I'm keeping close track of is announced projects versus actually projects that are being built. And I think we've seen some You know, pretty crazy announcements from companies like OpenAI with all of these different 10 gigawatts, six gigawatt projects. And those are numbers that I'm paying a lot of attention to because I think we need to sort of back into them and say, OK, if you wanted 10 gigawatts by this date, how many do you have today? Was that a real commitment? How firm is that commitment? But on on projects that are actually getting built, I do think, you know, 50% not really getting done on time is is, you know, what I would expect.

AI assessment note: “I totally believe that statistic... delayed due to higher costs, how hard it is to get labor”

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