VR

also referred to as: virtual reality

10 statements across 5 episodes · 7 bullish · 3 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Oct 31, 2022 by Alex Kantrowitz · across every show →

Everything said about VR, oldest first

Oct 31, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz predicts virtual reality mass adoption is at least five years away
“It doesn't seem like virtual reality is this technology. That's going to be mass adopted this year, or next year, or the year after that, or the year after that, maybe five years down the road. We start to see that happen, and who knows exactly how that's gonn…”
Alex Kantrowitz Oct 31, 2022 ▶ 37:31 How Amazon Reinvents with Artificial Intelligence
Apr 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Luckey: Photorealistic VR will rely on Micro-LEDs and advanced optics
“People, people often seem to think that there's got to be this big breakthrough, like that we're going to be scanning lasers. I'm like, no, I think actually things are going to look pretty similar. You're going to have micro LED displays that are very high bri…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 10:19 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 positive
Insight
Luckey: VR doesn't need touch or locomotion to achieve high utility
“And you don't have to simulate taste well or at all. You don't have to simulate touch well or at all. You don't have to simulate even locomotion well or at all. If there are compelling things you can do with just sight and sound. And remember, most of what we …”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 12:06 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 bullish
Insight
Luckey: Perfect audiovisual VR replaces all business travel except handshakes
“The only thing that I would lose if I did that in VR with perfect vision and perfect audio is that handshake at the end.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 13:08 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: VR will be visually indistinguishable from reality within 5-10 years
“There's actually a pretty clear path to VR that is visually indistinguishable from reality in the next five to seven years, certainly not more than 10.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 7:08 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Luckey: Key VR challenges like verifocal displays are already solved
“You also have to have Verifocal systems that can change the focal length of the pixels that you're looking at, but that's all been demonstrated. That's all been proven as well. We can do it fast enough if we have good eye tracking. We can correct for pupil swi…”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 10:44 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Apr 4, 2023 bearish
Opinion
Luckey: It is not the right time for VR to market broadly
“That shift from focus to broad I think that there is a time when it will happen. I don't think today is the right time, unfortunately.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 16:37 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Mar 20, 2024 positive
Opinion
Doshi: Meta has one of the world's best graphics teams
“I think one thing that Meta is doing, regardless of where VR is headed or AR is headed, is they have one of the most world-class teams for graphics, and they have to because of all the stuff that they're doing in VR.”
Suhail Doshi Mar 20, 2024 ▶ 22:34 Predicting AI’s Next Advances — With Suhail Doshi
Sep 11, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: VR and AR will transition from headsets to brain implants
“My galaxy brain take on virtual reality is that we will eventually move from trying to put glasses on our heads to just implanting it into our brains, and that's what VR and AR are gonna be.”
Alex Kantrowitz Sep 11, 2024 ▶ 37:38 iPhone16 Arrives + Apple Intelligence Delays
Dec 8, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Virtual reality will remain a niche gaming market, not general computing
“I think it's over. I think virtual reality should go back to niche use cases, gaming. Hopefully keep improving, be this kind of like product that's maybe a reasonably big market, but not the way everyone interacts with life.”
Ranjan Roy Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 32:40 AI Device Wars Heat Up, RIP Metaverse?, Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers
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