U.S.

8 statements across 5 episodes · 0 bullish · 3 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Jul 17, 2024 by Sebastian Siemiatkowski · across every show →

Everything said about U.S., oldest first

Jul 17, 2024
Disclosure
Klarna was consistently profitable from 2005 to 2018 before expanding to the US
“Klona was profitable from 2005 to 2018. So we had a history of kind of running this a little bit differently than most tech companies just like burn money. We have been profitable, but then when we came to the U.S., we invested heavily and that meant that we w…”
Sebastian Siemiatkowski Jul 17, 2024 ▶ 49:37 Did Klarna Really Automate 700 Jobs With AI? — With Sebastian Siemiatkowski
Jul 11, 2025 negative
Disclosure
Petersen: Flexport sees zero manufacturing returning to the U.S.
“Not amongst our customers. I haven't seen any flow into the U.S., but I'm seeing it There's a ton of movement out of China.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 16:45 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025
Assertion Supported
Petersen: U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports stand at 30% plus historical duties
“Tariffs are currently 30% plus whatever was pre-existing, so that's a pretty big deal.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:02 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025
Assertion Supported
Petersen: 145% tariffs caused a 60% drop in China-to-U.S. cargo volume
“It was at one 45 for five weeks. And so, during that five-week period, the volume of cargo from China to the US dropped by 60%.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:18 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Jul 11, 2025
Assertion Contradicted
Petersen: Lowering tariffs to 30% triggered an 80% surge in shipping volume
“Tariffs got relaxed back down to 30%. We've had a 80% increase in volume from China to the U.S. Above the pre-tariff levels.”
Ryan Petersen Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 1:48 Is The U.S. Losing Trump's Trade War? — Flexport CEO Ryan Petersen
Nov 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Clegg: 'America First' tech strategy cannot defeat China or India long-term
“I would be very surprised if that is a workable strategy for the U.S. And at some point, I think there's going to be quite a big sort of falling of the scales from the eyes when they realize you can't beat, you certainly can't beat China like that. And I suspe…”
Sir Nick Clegg Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 42:57 Can We Trust Silicon Valley With Superintelligence? — With Nick Clegg
Apr 13, 2026 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Roy: No company will build a WeChat-style super app in the US
“I hate super app. I don't, it, no one's gonna be WeChat in the U.S.”
Ranjan Roy Apr 13, 2026 ▶ 27:09 Anthropic’s Mythos Dilemma, Violence Against AI, Tokenmaxxing at Meta
Jul 29, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: US May Shift to AI Super Apps While China Proliferates Niche Apps
“And I think maybe because of China's embrace of open source and because of the U S closed AI model we might end up seeing a proliferation of individual AI apps in China while the U.S. Goes to super apps.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 44:05 How China Caught U.S. AI — With Grace Shao
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