Leopold Aschenbrenner

4 statements across 3 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jul 3, 2024 by William Saunders · said 36 times in 5 episodes since 2024 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (30), Ranjan Roy (3), William Saunders (2), Steven Adler (1)

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Everything said about Leopold Aschenbrenner, oldest first

Jul 3, 2024 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Saunders: Many at OpenAI discuss a three-year timeline to AGI
“And you know, what people were talking about at the company in terms of timelines to something dangerous were like, there were people talking, a lot of people talking about similar things to like the predictions of like, Leopold Aschenbrenner, where it's like …”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 37:53 What The Ex-OpenAI Safety Employees Are Worried About
Jul 3, 2024 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Saunders gives 10% probability of human-level remote AI within three years
“And I'm, you know, not as convinced about Leopold that this is necessarily going to come soon, but I think, you know, there's maybe like a 10% probability that this happens within three years.”
William Saunders Jul 3, 2024 ▶ 50:49 What The Ex-OpenAI Safety Employees Are Worried About
Aug 3, 2026
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Leopold Aschenbrenner's $20B Fund Blew Up and Sold to Citadel
“It went from millions of dollars in funds to twenty billion dollars in assets under management. And then it effectively, you know, I think blow up is maybe a little too strong, but it effectively blew up this week and it had to sell. It's a large part of its s…”
Alex Kantrowitz Aug 3, 2026 ▶ 1:39 Leopold Blows Up, OpenAI Drastically Cuts Prices, Microsoft’s Best Day
Aug 31, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Roy: Retail Volatility and AI Hype Signal Early Stages of Bubble's End
“Like, Leopold and situational awareness. These stories, this is the early part of any kind of bubbles ending cycle.”
Ranjan Roy Aug 31, 2026 ▶ 53:12 Software’s Epic Comeback, Meta’s AI Layoffs Blunder, South Korea Stock Market Chaos
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