big tech companies

4 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 3 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Sep 13, 2024 by Parmy Olson · across every show →

Everything said about big tech companies, oldest first

Sep 13, 2024 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Olson: Big tech can sustain heavy AI spending for years
“They can totally afford this, and they can afford to keep spending like this for the next few years at least.”
Parmy Olson Sep 13, 2024 ▶ 42:55 Is OpenAI’s New “o1” Model The Big Step Forward We’ve Been Waiting For?
Nov 17, 2025 bearish
Insight
Luria: Three-year GPU depreciation could slash AI company valuations by 40%
“If a company has to depreciate most of its assets, Over three years instead of five years, that means their profitability is going to go down proportionally. And we could have in, in, in, in a stylized case, the value of a company declined by 40% because an ac…”
Gil Luria Nov 17, 2025 ▶ 29:50 AI Bubble Special Report: Debt, Depreciation, and Losses — With Gil Luria
Mar 18, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sorkin: AI wealth will concentrate in big tech and incumbents hiring agents
“I believe that the wealth and the great riches are going to go both to the model makers, some of the big tech companies, and probably the folks who already have had success because they will be at the top of these food chains, and instead of hiring more people…”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 11:30 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
Aug 5, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Cahn: Top talent no longer views Big Tech as leading edge
“The organic talent flows simply are not there for the big tech companies in a way that 10 years ago, really good people did go to work at these companies. And today they are not perceived as leading edge companies.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 46:56 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
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