The Calls
Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.
Everyone Brad Gerstner (19)Bill Gurley (6)Sam Altman (3)Jensen Huang (3)Ali Ghodsi (2)Gavin Baker (1)Elon Musk (1)Dylan Patel (1)Andrew Fox (1)
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Next up (1)
109 days left 2026-12-31
Closed calls (1) the full record →
Altman predicts AI will make a novel scientific discovery by 2026
“I hope for very small scientific discoveries in 20, 26, but if we can get those very small ones, we'll get bigger ones in future years. That's a really crazy thing to say is that like AI is going to make a novel scientific discovery in 20, 26, even a very smal…”