The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

1open predictions
0due for another look
2closed calls →
1125days to next prediction date
Everyone Brad Gerstner (19)Bill Gurley (6)Sam Altman (3)Jensen Huang (3)Ali Ghodsi (2)Gavin Baker (1)Elon Musk (1)Dylan Patel (1)Andrew Fox (1)
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Next up (1)

1125 days left 2029-10-13
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2029
Huang: $1T in legacy data center infrastructure must be modernized in 4-5 years
“And we just know that we have a trillion dollars with the data centers that we have to modernize. And so right now as we speak, if we were to have a trajectory over the next four or five years to modernize that old stuff, that's not unreasonable.”
Jensen Huang Oct 13, 2024 ▶ 33:23 Ep17. Welcome Jensen Huang | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod

Closed calls (2) the full record →

Prediction Held up
Huang: The AI industry will with certainty require millions of GPUs
“If you just did that math and you compound it with, you add, you compound that with four X per year, On model size and computing size. And then on the other hand, demand continues to grow in usage. Do we think that we need millions of GPUs? No doubt. Yeah, tha…”
Jensen Huang Oct 13, 2024 ▶ 53:15 Ep17. Welcome Jensen Huang | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Prediction Held up
Huang: Elon Musk will likely build a gigawatt AI cluster first
“I would not be surprised if he gets to a gigawatt before anybody else does.”
Jensen Huang Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 57:27 NVIDIA: OpenAI, Future of Compute, and the American Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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