US economy

also referred to as: u s economy

5 statements across 5 episodes · 2 bullish · 3 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Jan 11, 2025 by Brad Gerstner · across every show →

Everything said about US economy, oldest first

Jan 11, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Tax cuts and AI productivity will accelerate US growth
“Cutting taxes, three to four hundred billion dollars a year is going to accelerate it. We are going to get efficiency and productivity gains from AI. Like these things are happening.”
Brad Gerstner Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 53:48 Market Predictions, Rates & Inflation, DOGE, CES, AI Compute | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Mar 21, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Gerstner: Targeting $1T in Tariffs Would Cause a US Recession
“My belief is that if we're targeting tariff revenues going from sixty-five billion to a trillion, I don't think the US economy is prepared for that, and I think that pushes us into a recession.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 21, 2025 ▶ 21:06 NVDA GTC, M&A Wiz / Goog $32 B Deal, April 2 Tariff Uncertainty; Huawei Belt & Road; ChatGPT | BG2 · Bg2 Pod
Apr 24, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Trump Macro Agenda Unlikely to Achieve a Smooth Landing
“The probability that you're going to land this plane and just a really smooth landing, I think is, is challenging to see, right? It's, We're going to have some wins. We're going to have some losses.”
Brad Gerstner Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 3:50 Tariffs, Free Trade, Export Controls, H20 & Rare Earth Ban | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
May 22, 2025 positive
Insight
Gerstner: Foreign producers absorb half of US tariff costs
“So I think what the market was saying is, okay, three hundred billion, half of that will show up as increased prices and taxes on consumers and on businesses. Half of it will get eaten by the producer of the product in China, in India, wherever, you know, that…”
Brad Gerstner May 22, 2025 ▶ 26:02 AI, Middle East, China, Tariffs, Recon Bill, Invest America | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jun 6, 2025 negative
Insight
Gerstner: Cutting $2T in single year would trigger US recession
“You can't just cut two trillion dollars in a single year. That would be an 800 basis point headwind to GDP. It would throw us into a recession, if not depression, like state.”
Brad Gerstner Jun 6, 2025 ▶ 48:52 China, AI Immigration, Rare Earths & Chips, Tariffs, Markets | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 40 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.