CapEx

7 statements across 6 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Aug 9, 2024 by Brad Gerstner · across every show →

Everything said about CapEx, oldest first

Aug 9, 2024 bullish
Prediction Held up
Gerstner: Big Four Tech to Spend $220B on CapEx in 2024
“If you look at the big four, they're gonna spend two hundred and twenty billion this year on CapEx, you know.”
Brad Gerstner Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 32:02 Ep14. Public Market Volatility, AI Air Pocket, $GOOG Ruling | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Dec 23, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Patel: Wall Street hyperscaler CapEx estimates are far too low
“I think when you look at the streets estimates for capex, they're all far too low.”
Dylan Patel Dec 23, 2024 ▶ 36:37 AI Semiconductor Landscape feat. Dylan Patel | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Jan 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Microsoft is on an $80 billion annual CapEx run rate
“In their most recent quarter, they did about twenty billion in capex bill, and you just, you know, he said earlier in the year, which caused, or a couple of days ago, which caused a bit of a kerfuffle that they expected to spend eighty billion in capex this ye…”
Brad Gerstner Jan 11, 2025 ▶ 15:24 Market Predictions, Rates & Inflation, DOGE, CES, AI Compute | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Mar 2, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Gerstner: Microsoft is spending 80% of free cash flow on CapEx
“Microsoft, I think, is spending 80% of their free cash flow, right, on CapEx.”
Brad Gerstner Mar 2, 2025 ▶ 39:02 Grok 3, AI Memory & Voice, China, DOGE, Public Market Pull Back | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Apr 24, 2025 bearish
Insight
Gurley: Capex freezes create a self-reinforcing inflationary reflexivity loop
“The reflexivity already starts to take place, everything you just described. And once it does, some of it is certainly self-reinforcing, so you start decommitting capex, you start decommitting you know, basic capacity on different manufacturing lines, planes, …”
Bill Gurley Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 59:15 Tariffs, Free Trade, Export Controls, H20 & Rare Earth Ban | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley & Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Oct 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: OpenAI deals imply $150B in CapEx by 2030
“If you add them all up, it looks like to me, OpenAI would be on the hook for like a hundred and fifty billion of CapEx in 2030.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 27:17 AI Bubble, Stablecoin Boom, and Runnin' Down a Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
Oct 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Gerstner: Magnificent Five capital expenditures jumped from $156B to $379B
“In 2023, their total capex was one hundred and fifty six billion. And this year it's three hundred and seventy nine billion.”
Brad Gerstner Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 23:18 AI Bubble, Stablecoin Boom, and Runnin' Down a Dream | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner · Bg2 Pod
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