artificial general intelligence

“So I think most people in AI research think, no, we need an unknown number of further breakthroughs of principle, and we don't know what those are or when those would happen, and so we don't, we can't predict when we would have AGI, although there doesn't appe…”

“Now there are some people who think this is another step towards AGI, which is like, I think Sam thinks that I'm not, I didn't think I'm, and I'm not an AI scientist, but I'm not sure there's a consensus of the majority of people would think that.”

“The theory that all of this kind of is on a track to AGI in a sense is that you can create AGI out of the collective Knowledge of humanity, which is sort of what GPT is trying to do. It's just to give it all the texts that there is on the internet and like int…”

“All the people who've actually been working on this for 20 years don't agree. And most of them say we don't know.”

“To actually kind of make any questions about what companies are going to happen and how we're going to use this, you always have to kind of park the AGI conversation, because if it happens, then all bets are off.”

“And you could say, well, if that gets fixed, then we've got AGI, but actually I didn't think that's true because one way to fix it might be that it could just say, I don't know. The problem at the moment is it might not know and give you make something up, or …”

“Whereas with AGI, we have no theoretical model for what AGI actually is, and we also actually don't have a theoretical model for how LLMs work. Other than at a very, very high, high level. So we don't actually know what will happen if we give it three X more d…”

“AGI, the problem we're talking about artificial general intelligence is it's a thought experiment, not a technology. Or it's a concept, not technology.”

“I mean, I think that only works if you have AGI, which is the third point.”

“Last year, everyone at Davos was talking about AGI. This year, no one at Davos was talking about AGI.”