The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Palmer Luckey: Virtual reality will be humanity's final dominant media platform
“The final media platform, not just the next one, but the final one. I wasn't sure if it'd be the next one or if it was ready, but I knew that in the end, virtual reality was going to be the dominant media platform.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 1:03 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Luckey: High-training neural interfaces will launch in military before consumer tech
“I think the most powerful uses of these types of Human and computer interfaces are going to be ones that do require many hours of training. You know, imagine if I could, let's say, wear a band that is detecting a lot of the, Electrical activity in my median ne…”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 19:18 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Luckey: Top US Tech Companies Unprecedentedly Avoid Partnering With Military
“Because for the first time in history, most innovative technology companies in America are largely not working with the United States military. That's truly unprecedented. There's never been a point in US history where that was the case.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 26:51 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Palmer Luckey: Chinese companies are selling lethal weaponized drones abroad
“The Chinese in particular have a variety of companies that are building Weaponized drones with, you know, really lethal systems on them. And those are being sold to other countries right now.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 41:14 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Luckey: All components for original Oculus Rift existed 3 years prior
“And what's weird about the Rift is it could have been built about three years, like literally every component that I used in the original Oculus Rift prototype which I call PR six. It was the sixth major revision of my designs. Every single part in it Existed …”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 1:41 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Palmer Luckey estimates 80 percent of tech workers support a strong military.
“In fact, I'd say probably eight out of 10 people working in the tech industry If you ask them, do you want the United States to have the strongest military in the world? Eight out of 10 would give you a strong yes.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 28:29 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Luckey: Every VR Company in History Failed Before Oculus
“Every VR company in history had failed spectacularly.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 2:14 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Luckey: Early VR competitors like Oculus and Sony shared research and hardware
“Very quickly, the nascent VR players, whether they were big like Sony or small like Oculus, We kind of decided it was going to be in our best interest to collaborate, and we actually did. Like, we shared a ton of research. We shared our interest, our research …”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 12:21 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Contradicted
Luckey: NASA Conceived Real-Time VR Lens Correction in the 1960s
“People had come up with this at NASA, literally in the sixties and seventies, but the computational power hadn't existed, and the idea was just forgotten.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 4:02 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Partly supported
Luckey: Oculus had only 45 employees when acquired by Facebook
“We were like 45 people when the Facebook acquisition was announced.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 7:49 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Partly supported
Luckey: Anduril Ghost Drone Flies 6.5 Hours on Hydrogen Fuel Cell
“So cruise at about 85 miles an hour. It can fly for up to two hours on a battery and up to six and a half hours on a hydrogen fuel cell, which clips on and places the battery.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 36:20 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Luckey: Anduril Ghost Drone Is Completely Inaudible at 100 Meters
“At a hundred meters, it is inaudible to the human ear. And because it's a helicopter, it's very, very skinny and very, very short. And we stack everything all in a line. When you look at it dead on, it's like this big, like this is the front of the thing. So t…”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 36:40 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Palmer Luckey: A non-explosive Hellfire missile variant limits collateral damage
“There's a new version of the Hellfire that basically just runs into people. It doesn't even have explosives. It just runs into targets and is, has very little collateral damage.”
Palmer Luckey Jul 5, 2021 ▶ 38:36 Palmer Luckey: Meet the Real-Life Tony Stark · Joe Lonsdale
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