The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2028
Mintz: Fully autonomous vehicles are at least five years away
“I would say we're at least five years away.”
Nathan Mintz Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 23:51 Ep 55: Nathan Mintz on Directed Energy, a New Space Age & the Final Hurdles to a Driverless Future · Joe Lonsdale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mintz: Elon Musk could reach Mars by around 2026
“I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if Elon makes it to Mars by twenty-twenty-six or so.”
Nathan Mintz Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 33:12 Ep 55: Nathan Mintz on Directed Energy, a New Space Age & the Final Hurdles to a Driverless Future · Joe Lonsdale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mintz: Asteroid mining is likely about 20 years away
“I think so. I think it's probably more like 20 years away than five years away, but we're certainly trending in that direction”
Nathan Mintz Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 32:58 Ep 55: Nathan Mintz on Directed Energy, a New Space Age & the Final Hurdles to a Driverless Future · Joe Lonsdale
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 150 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.