why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chambers: Nile will transform networking like AWS transformed cloud
“Think about what Cisco did to all the networking companies. Think about what Amazon did in the cloud. Think what Apple did in terms of ease of use. That really is what now is going to do this industry if we do it right.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2033
Chambers predicts India will outgrow the world for the next decade
“You watch, ah, one economy that's gonna outgrow the rest of the world for the next decade, It'll be India. Wouldn't surprise me to see him grow in the nine to 11% range for a decade.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chambers: Customers recommended almost all of Cisco's 180 acquisitions
“Ah, out of the 180 acquisitions, almost all of them, it was a customer who told us we should buy them.”
Assertion Supported
Chambers: West Virginia has attracted ten billion-dollar projects
“We've attracted now ten billion dollar projects into the state.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chambers: France became Europe's top startup environment in five years
“France went from the worst startup environment in Europe to the best in just five years. State of uniform unicorn growth is the fastest there”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chambers: Almost all future jobs will come from startups
“So it's going to be a startup world in the future. That's where almost all jobs will come from.”
Insight
Chambers: Late market entrants cannot reach number one without partnering or acquiring
“Once the market take off, you can't think I'll be the 10th player in this market three years later and become number one. It doesn't happen. So if we weren't one of the first movers, we partnered with one of them or acquired”
Insight
Chambers: Customers whose problems you solve become more loyal than trouble-free accounts
“And oddly enough, customers who had problems that you helped solve the problem even if it was created by us ended up being more loyal customers and actually grew faster than the ones who didn't.”
Assertion Supported
Chambers: Support costs comprise 75% of enterprise network expenses
“Where 75% of your cost of networks are the support costs, not the product costs.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chambers: Modi Dreams Big and Will Change India in a Big Way
“Modi definitely has it in India. He dreams very big. He'll change that, that country in a big way”
Assertion Supported
Chambers: Cisco grew from $70M to $48B and created 10,000 employee millionaires
“We went from a company that had seventy million in sales when I joined, and it went to forty-eight billion. Ah, we were number one or number two in 15 of 18 product areas, number three in just three. We created 10,000 millionaires among our employees, so we sh…”
Assertion Supported
Chambers: West Virginia University scaled from zero to 35 startups
“We've got 35 startups at the university from zero.”