The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

3statements match

0resolved → 3open predictions → 0held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027

DeWitte: 15MW Oklo reactors can generate power below 4-5 cents/kWh

“It's a little more expensive, but if you move that to the 15 megawatt size range, then yeah, you can get the prices down to sort of below four, four or five cents kilowatt hour.”

Jake DeWitt Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 11:59 Oklo's Amazing Small Reactor That Can Reuse Nuclear Waste · Joe Lonsdale

Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027

DeWitte: Oklo reactors can achieve over 98% operational uptime

“I mean, you'll turn it off occasionally for servicing different parts of it, but you're talking about a system that's going to be up and operational more than 98% of the time, or at least has the potential to be.”

Jake DeWitt Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 12:59 Oklo's Amazing Small Reactor That Can Reuse Nuclear Waste · Joe Lonsdale

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050

DeWitte: Nuclear fission systems will power human space exploration by 2050

“So I think that by that timeframe, you're going to see Basically nuclear systems powering, you know, human advancement in space as well.”

Jake DeWitt Apr 6, 2022 ▶ 33:43 Oklo's Amazing Small Reactor That Can Reuse Nuclear Waste · Joe Lonsdale

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