The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
McCord: AI infrastructure spending will reach $1T by early 2030s
“I think, you know, it'll be the biggest infrastructure build that humanity has ever done, I think. I think you could make that argument. I think we will hit a trillion dollars in the early 20 thirties.”
Brendan McCord Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 9:42 The Terrifying Truth AI Researchers Don’t Understand · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
McCord: 4,000 Google Employees Protested Project Maven Military AI Work
“After I left, after I rolled off the project, we had deployed it in Afghanistan, all that, 4000 people came together and they protested Google's involvement.”
Brendan McCord Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 4:24 The Terrifying Truth AI Researchers Don’t Understand · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
McCord: Prime Intellect's Decentralized Training Run Challenges Centralization Assumptions
“There's a huge decentralized training run that I think prime intellect did recently that, you know, shows that the assumptions everyone has about how AI is just going to be a centralized thing could be wrong.”
Brendan McCord Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 28:19 The Terrifying Truth AI Researchers Don’t Understand · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
McCord: Apple paper shows minor perturbations drop AI reasoning scores by 65%
“But then you have Apple come out with a paper that shows that if you do minor perturbations, you drop the reasoning score on these systems by like, 65%.”
Brendan McCord Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 40:36 The Terrifying Truth AI Researchers Don’t Understand · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
McCord: A Wyoming mayoral candidate ran pledging to defer decisions to ChatGPT
“So this forty-year-old guy in Wyoming ran for mayor. Recently, and he, his name is Victor, and he runs as the humble meat avatar of an, of a chat GPT, of AI system. So he says, like, I'm gonna run, because humans can run from air, AI can't, but really I'm just…”
Brendan McCord Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 37:37 The Terrifying Truth AI Researchers Don’t Understand · Joe Lonsdale
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