The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 28 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Disclosure
Lowery: Epirus built automated targeting, but military rejects fully automatic mode
“The system now is in its infancy, but those hooks and those basically that fully automated mode is dialed into the way we architected it. So today, the military is not willing to go fully automatic”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 13:43 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Opinion
Mintz: Directed energy weapons eliminate battlefield ammunition and magazine constraints
“The way I see it, directed energy weapons are a game changer on the battlefield. They don't have any of these magazine depth problems. The headlines right now are plagued with ammunition shortages and missile shortages and how are we going to replenish all thi…”
Nathan Mintz Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 11:43 Ep 55: Nathan Mintz on Directed Energy, a New Space Age & the Final Hurdles to a Driverless Future · Joe Lonsdale
Opinion
Marr: Epirus's Leonidas system acts like a force field for military bases
“We think about Leonidas as it really creates what's like a force field. You can create a force field around a base or defensive area. So I think it really does change the game.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 25:55 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lonsdale: Google dropping Project Maven triggered founding of Anduril and Epirus
“Maven came up and they gave it up. And then, you know, that was like the alarm bell that led to the founding of Andrel and Epros and Saronic and these big companies we were building now”
Joe Lonsdale Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 30:46 Senator Exposes America’s Biggest Censorship Scandal · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Lowery: Epirus system achieved 100 percent defeat rate in April Army trials
“We had zero targets that we did not take down. In other words, we were 100% effective on Every single scenario and every single target that they threw at us, we had an effect on”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 16:56 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Lowery: Epirus plans overseas front-line military deployment in fall 2024
“We intend to be in deployment mode come this fall. So in this fall, we'll have a final sort of test out of all the different bugs that we learned in the first limitations test, and then we'll send these things overseas to really, really, really be in the war a…”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 17:41 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lowery: Epirus Will Enter a DoD Program of Record in 2025
“We are deploying to CENTCOM. If those deployments are successful, we will be palmed into a program or record In 20, 25.”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 29:22 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Insight
Marr: Power transistor density is doubling every 18 months
“We've published a peer reviewed journal article in, in December, 2020 on a lot. We've discovered, we believe we've discovered a lot that the power density of these transistors, it's doubling about every 18 months. We plotted all the data. Back to like the 19 n…”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 12:03 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marr: Epirus directed energy has disabled every electronic device tested against
“So Joe, we have not tried it against any electronics where it didn't work. So every piece of electronics we tried against, it has been successful. So we've taken out GPS, we've taken out guidance as systems.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 19:09 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Marr: Epirus created the world's first software-defined EMP weapon
“We have created the world's first Software defined electromagnetic pulse capability.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 1:22 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Marr: Epirus's Leonidas disables drones beyond visible range
“So we have demonstrated beyond a visible range. Like a good story I'll tell you is we, when we did our, one of our first field tests field demos, we had about a 70 customers come generals and so forth. It was a great event, and one of the biggest technical cha…”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 14:48 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Marr: Electromagnetic spectrum control will dominate future warfare
“We're expanding into all areas of what's called the electromagnetic spectrum, because that is what is going to assert control in the future area of warfare.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 23:57 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Marr: Epirus achieves 90% to 95% power efficiency improvements
“We're getting 90%, 95% power efficiency improvements.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 7:02 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Marr: Leonidas counter-drone microwave beam is safe for humans
“It's safe for people.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 13:33 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Lowery: Epirus Faces FAA Authorization Delays Even on US Military Bases
“In the frequencies we work in, a lot of those frequencies are run by the FAA. And so the FAA has to give us permission to radiate big radiation at those frequencies, and we've run into problems Domestically, even on bases, even on military bases, being able to…”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 37:59 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Lowery: Epirus testing microwave weapon against boat motors with Navy
“We're going out with the Navy and participating in what's called Antex. And Antex is a program that we're going to take one of our systems and put a whole bunch of different outboard boat motors out in the water and see how far and how quickly and how effectiv…”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 21:24 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lowery: Epirus can build HPM systems effective at 10-kilometer ranges
“We're confident that we can build HPM that can have effects, very, very ubiquitous effects out at those ranges as well. Very, very confident.”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 19:30 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Lowery: Epirus is developing microwave shields for Abrams tanks and airfields
“And we have activity in a wide spectrum Of different sorts of applications that range from a very sort of close range self protect, like the Abrams tanks, for example, ranging all the way up into the protect a whole entire airfield.”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 10:01 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Marr: Epirus self-funds product development to sell at fixed prices
“We're building this thing in a commercial business model. So we're investing our own money to get this thing built and sell it. We're going to sell it to you as a fixed price.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 22:51 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Marr: Epirus directed energy successfully disables boat motors and vehicles
“We, so we bought a boat motor running the boat motor in our chamber there. And so we've now got a videos of zapping our boat motors. We've got a bunch of data, how well it worked. It works great on vehicles as well. So it's really any electronics.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 18:17 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Contradicted
Marr: Epirus invented chips capable of handling up to 2,000 volts
“So what we've invented is a gallium nitride chips and a silicon carbide chips. These new chips That can handle 1200 volts, 2000 volts. So we've digitized.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 9:57 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Contradicted
Marr: Epirus demonstrated an EMP weapon outputting gigawatts of power
“One of our first field demos, we showed off our electromagnetic pulse weapon. We're putting out gigawatts of power”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 5:33 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Joe Lonsdale co-founded Epirus in 2018 to combat stadium drone threats
“In 2018, when I helped my friends start EPRIS, that's what I was thinking, actually, is what could a crazy terrorist do to, like, attack something in a stadium? And you actually do need just to be able to turn these things off.”
Joe Lonsdale Jan 9, 2026 ▶ 15:42 Pentagon Chief: 6 Weapons That Will Prevent WW3 · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Contradicted
Lowery: FPV drones require direct impact, making short-range microwave defenses effective
“What happens is, is a first person viewer drone with what they call a contact charge needs to drive that first person view drone all the way into impact. Cause how the contact charge works is it hits the armor And then a little spike shoots through the armor, …”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 10:45 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Lowery: Epirus delivered four systems to Army in 15 months
“So when the army gave us a contract, they said, see if we can deliver these in a couple years, two and a, it was a two and a half years actually. We delivered four systems in 15 months. I mean, just unheard of. 15 months, four full systems to the Army.”
Andy Lowery Aug 16, 2024 ▶ 18:28 Electronic Warfare and Real-Life Force Fields! Epirus CEO Andy Lowery · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Marr: Epirus is building power systems to speed up naval ships
“We're actually going to, we're working on a project right now. We're actually going to speed up. The goal of the project is to speed up a ship because if all of its gas or energy is going towards the radar, it can't go towards the motor.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 8:51 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Marr: Epirus directed energy disables targets via electronic overvoltage
“We're shooting a photons through the air and then once the photons hit the drone, it's creating such a strong electromagnetic field that it's creating a over voltage scenario on the electronics itself.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 17:12 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Marr: Epirus system can dynamically protect friendly assets from EMP blasts
“So we can put an energy null. We call it a dynamic blue force zone where the user can kind of mark out where they don't want to fire and it can even be dynamic.”
Bo Marmon Dec 15, 2021 ▶ 20:34 Force Fields & Directed Energy Are Here! How Epirus Is Changing Defense Tech · Joe Lonsdale
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