The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Liemandt: 90% of Students Use ChatGPT to Cheat
“If you deploy ChatGPT to students, 90% of them use it to cheat.”
Joe Liemandt Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 43:20 Secret Tech Billionaire Is Betting $1B on This · Joe Lonsdale
Opinion
Alperovitch: All top-tier AI models are built in the US
“It's not an accident that all the major AI models that are any good are built in this country, nowhere else. Not, not in China, not even in France. Mistral is, is, is a great company, but they're not ChatGPT, they're not Claude, they're not Gemini.”
Dmitri Alperovitch Aug 22, 2024 ▶ 40:10 He Predicted Putin's Invasion. Now He Predicts When China Will Invade Taiwan. · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
McGrew: ChatGPT launched as a side project with zero press outreach
“And again, it was a side project. We called it a low-key research preview. We didn't do any press on it, and it just blew up.”
Bob McGrew Aug 18, 2023 ▶ 38:54 Ep 66: Bob McGrew — the Superstar Palantir Alum Leading OpenAI's Transformative Research Projects · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Melas-Kyriazi: VCs Use Claude and ChatGPT to Critique Investment Memos
“Another thing we're seeing is that firms are writing investment memos, and then they're using tools like Claude and ChatGPT to poke holes in them. What am I missing? Where, where's my argument weakest? And then using that to help to guide the diligence process…”
John Milles-Kiriazzi Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 16:05 How AI Agents are Changing Investing · Joe Lonsdale
Disclosure
Hoffman: AI digital twin built using custom ChatGPT and ElevenLabs
“So we did a custom chat GPT model for the read brain. We did 11 labs for The Voice, and then we're changing, it was our one initially, but we're changing, we're, as different models happen, we're doing different video.”
Reid Hoffman Jul 28, 2025 ▶ 20:50 Two Billionaires Debate: Should We Fear AI? · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
McCord: A Wyoming mayoral candidate ran pledging to defer decisions to ChatGPT
“So this forty-year-old guy in Wyoming ran for mayor. Recently, and he, his name is Victor, and he runs as the humble meat avatar of an, of a chat GPT, of AI system. So he says, like, I'm gonna run, because humans can run from air, AI can't, but really I'm just…”
Brendan McCord Dec 13, 2024 ▶ 37:37 The Terrifying Truth AI Researchers Don’t Understand · Joe Lonsdale
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