“I, at this point, I think we understand neural networks a lot better than we understand the brain. So whenever someone talks to me about the brain, I always think, well, what does a neural network do? And then probably actually the brain does that.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from Bob McGrew
Insight
McGrew: There is no limit to neural network capability with enough compute and data
“If you could figure out how to pour enough compute and pour enough data into a neural network, there's really no limit to how, how good it could get.”
Bob McGrewAug 18, 2023▶ 18:46Ep 66: Bob McGrew — the Superstar Palantir Alum Leading OpenAI's Transformative Research Projects · Joe Lonsdale
AssertionNot checkable as stated
McGrew: OpenAI models are improving, contrary to user reports of degradation
“Ah, we think it's actually getting better over time that, you know, some of the reports are sort of confounding various different things.”
Bob McGrewAug 18, 2023▶ 25:02Ep 66: Bob McGrew — the Superstar Palantir Alum Leading OpenAI's Transformative Research Projects · Joe Lonsdale
PredictionNot checkable as stated
McGrew: AI scaling will keep working without hitting an asymptote
“The way I think about it is that we are still pretty far away from the level of scale that is the human brain. And so there's no reason for there to be an asymptote. I think it just keeps working.”
Bob McGrewAug 18, 2023▶ 25:43Ep 66: Bob McGrew — the Superstar Palantir Alum Leading OpenAI's Transformative Research Projects · Joe Lonsdale
PredictionNot checkable as stated
McGrew: Human-level multi-agent AI will create its own civilization
“When you push this to the level where AI is at the human level, I mean, they're basically going to be creating their own civilization.”
Bob McGrewAug 18, 2023▶ 35:30Ep 66: Bob McGrew — the Superstar Palantir Alum Leading OpenAI's Transformative Research Projects · Joe Lonsdale
PredictionNot checkable as stated
McGrew: GPT-5 will render current AI infrastructure solutions completely obsolete
“I'm always a little worried about the infrastructure work, because I think, you know, you're solving the problems as they exist today, and when GPD 4.5 and GPD five come out, you know, they're gonna have fundamentally different use cases and fundamentally diff…”
Bob McGrewAug 18, 2023▶ 40:02Ep 66: Bob McGrew — the Superstar Palantir Alum Leading OpenAI's Transformative Research Projects · Joe Lonsdale
Insight
McGrew: GPT-3 and GPT-4 must be prompted to act smart or dumb
“Well, that's actually one of the cool things that we've discovered with GPT-III and GPT-IV, Is that the model, so the models are trained on the internet and they're reading everything, right? Then they try to act like what they've seen, right? They're predicti…”
Bob McGrewAug 18, 2023▶ 12:34Ep 66: Bob McGrew — the Superstar Palantir Alum Leading OpenAI's Transformative Research Projects · Joe Lonsdale
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