Gene Berdichevsky discusses battery chemistry performance limits and his founding of Sila Nanotechnologies.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Berdichevsky: Autonomous EVs will be an order of magnitude cheaper than gas
“And as you can imagine, with the cost of recharging an EV being almost nothing compared to the cost of refueling a car, you know, autonomous EVs are going to be not just a little cheaper than gas powered EVs, but they're going to be an order of magnitude.”
Prediction Held up
Berdichevsky: Automotive scale will make lithium-ion dominate electrical grid storage
“Being somebody who's in lithium ion, I actually think the scale of automotive will also lead lithium ion to dominate most of the grid.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050
Berdichevsky predicts most fossil fuel use will disappear by 2050
“I think by the middle of the century, I'm very, very confident that most fossil fuel fuel use will go away.”
Opinion
Berdichevsky argues climate change is no longer a technology bottleneck
“I don't believe that solving I don't believe solving most of climate change is going to be a technology problem. I think we have the technologies. I'm watching them get invented. I'm watching them get scaled right now.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Berdichevsky predicts battery costs will reach $50/kWh by 2030
“And so you can plot that out and you can see the costs. If technology improves trending to kind of 50 bucks a kilowatt hour, which would have been unthinkable to people, you know just a few years ago. I mean, a hundred seemed like a real stretch for everybody.…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Berdichevsky: Autonomous vehicles will drive 1-2M miles per decade
“Is as we get to autonomy, which obviously is going to take a little longer than everybody expected, you know, vehicles are going to go from driving a 100,000 miles in 10 years to driving a million or two million miles in 10 years.”