The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Bathgate: Halving Apple App Store take rate costs 5% of gross profit
“What's the gross profit impact if they cut their app store you know, take rate from 30% to 15%, you know, across The board. What is that like? Five percent of gross profits. It's like meaningless to them and it would create so much value for all the, and there…”
John Bathgate Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 21:59 Complexity Investing & Semiconductors with NZS Capital (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Bathgate: TSMC manufactures a quarter of the world's digital chips
“TSMC fabs a quarter of the digital chips made in the world right now.”
John Bathgate Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 1:21:44 Complexity Investing & Semiconductors with NZS Capital (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
Bathgate: Intel, TSMC, and Samsung bought 25% of ASML to fund EUV
“Intel and TSMC and Samsung partnered and actually bought 25% of ASML to inject capital into ASML to develop EUV systems.”
John Bathgate Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 1:44:40 Complexity Investing & Semiconductors with NZS Capital (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Bathgate: Cree controls two-thirds of the silicon carbide substrate market
“Cree is the one company that has two thirds of the market for the substrate itself.”
John Bathgate Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 58:39 Complexity Investing & Semiconductors with NZS Capital (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Assertion Supported
Bathgate: Zeiss makes the most uniform lenses in history
“ASML's partnership with Zeiss, the lens company is also like really special. And I guess like Trump and Zeiss could try to partner to, I don't think they have any ambitions to do this, but they could try to partner together to kind of circumvent ASML. But like…”
John Bathgate Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 1:39:44 Complexity Investing & Semiconductors with NZS Capital (Extended Cut) · Acquired
Assertion Partly supported
ASML took nine years between first EUV shipment and high-volume production
“They shipped the first EUV tool in 2010 to TSMC, and EUV didn't even really start high volume, and this was after, you know, a decade of R&D already, but then they didn't start high volume manufacturing on EUV until 2019. So they had, like, almost a decade of …”
John Bathgate Nov 3, 2021 ▶ 1:40:07 Complexity Investing & Semiconductors with NZS Capital (Extended Cut) · Acquired
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