The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2039
Viable animal-to-human organ xenotransplantation will arrive within 10 to 20 years
“I think a couple of things will likely come. I think xenotransplantation, I mean, which has been in and out and worked on. And what's interesting is every one of these comes up and down. So, you know, gene therapies, cell therapies popped up in the nineties, k…”
Vas Narasimhan Jan 17, 2019 ▶ 22:42 a16z Podcast | The Science and Business of Innovative Medicines
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Novartis will only advance drugs that replace the standard of care
“We internally have just set a very clear bar now for ourselves, primarily because we live in a world now where nobody wants a me too medicine or a medicine that's just incrementally better. We say to ourselves, it has to replace the standard of care.”
Vas Narasimhan Jan 17, 2019 ▶ 8:00 a16z Podcast | The Science and Business of Innovative Medicines
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Narasimhan: CAR-T therapy development will shift to an iterative model
“I think in the specific example of car T I do think that's, what's going to happen because you have such a complex manufacturing that you're going to have the first generation, let's say of a CD-nineteen card, which is a cart that targets B cell cancers. And y…”
Vas Narasimhan Jan 17, 2019 ▶ 29:40 a16z Podcast | The Science and Business of Innovative Medicines
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