The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Standage: AI intelligence takeoff will not be exponential due to scaling limits
“But the point is that a system that's twice as good, if it's, say, an order, you know, an order, it might scale non-linearly. So it might be 256 times harder to build a system that's twice as good, and so every incremental improvement is going to take longer, …”
Standage: Useful AI will demand rights, leading humans to enslave AI
“Because the usual scenario people worry about is we are enslaved by the AIs. But I'm much more interested in the opposite scenario, which is if the AIs are smart enough to be useful, they will demand personhood and rights. At which point, we will be enslaving …”
Standage: Uber poached Carnegie Mellon's entire robotics department
“We've just seen, for example, Uber has snaffled the entire robotics department for Carnegie Mellon.”
Standage: AI automation will eliminate support and administrative jobs
“The bits you can automate are the bits that are currently, many of them are bits that are currently done for them by other people. So the typing pool, you know, we've got rid of the typing pool because we all type for ourselves. Factory worker. Exactly. So, yo…”
Standage: Non-automatable physical services represent the future of human employment
“Interior design, yoga, Zumba, whatever. That's the future of employment at coffee shops.”