why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Pathak: Synapse will not seek to acquire its own banking charter
“We're most likely not going to go and get a charter.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pathak: Empower will surpass neobanks like Chime and Varo within months
“So pretty much, at this point, in a couple of months, they've been able to get at par With any other new banking customer you can think of. Maybe Chime, maybe Varo, all of these people. They started after them, and now are at the point where we are, and next c…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pathak: Up to 90% of banking back-office functions can be automated
“A lot of the back office functions that banks are hiring people for you can by and large automate depending on what type of operation it is from like 80 to high nineties percent”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pathak: Simple founder Shamir Karkal couldn't open his own bank account
“Later I talked to Shamir, who was the founder of Simple, and he said even he didn't have a Simple bank account.”
Assertion Contradicted
Pathak: Only two or three new US banks chartered since 2008
“No, because after, after the last financial recession, there has been I think about only two or three new banks that have actually been de novoed.”
Prediction Partly held up
Pathak: Newly chartered US banks face two years of regulatory restrictions
“And based on the current regulations if they stay the way they are it puts, even if someone were to become a new bank today, for next two years, they would be pretty much kind of in a restricted category with the Fed and also with the FDIC.”
Assertion Supported
Pathak: Regulators hold sponsor banks liable for fintech partner compliance failures
“The bank bears the risk for the primary regulators. Now we've seen precedent being set where CFPB goes directly to fintech companies and also finds them, but mostly what happens is your primary regulator is going to knock on your door, you're being the bank's …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pathak: Launching a neobank traditionally requires eight to ten vendor partnerships
“Well, eight to 10, because the pieces we haven't talked about is other use cases we can talk about how this applies for lending, but in case of neobanks, your customer wanting to pay a bill, and the way they pay a bill is with the check. Do you send them a che…”
Prediction Held up
Pathak: Airbnb and non-internet companies will soon launch embedded financial products
“Lyft, Uber, they're doing it. Airbnb probably is going to do it. They're also going to have companies that have not even been internet companies starting to offer this.”
Prediction Held up
Pathak: Unified high-net-worth banking and wealth platforms will emerge within a year
“All the way to high net worth individuals and how can you build out better portfolio management for them that doesn't just only account for public stocks that they have to buy, but goes across board from checking all the way to portfolio management. That last …”