why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Stromberg: VR distribution will shift from download stores to subscription models
“Initially where you know when you have sites like Steam and you know, Oculus site and all these will be the first places that you're able to sort of download, but I can see very clearly a time when you will have this sort of Netflix like library to choose from…”
Prediction Held up
Stromberg: VRC is developing gaze-driven branching VR narratives
“Where we're going now is we are doing branching narratives, so, which is really cool. So you can be going through a story being told to you, and depending on where you look, take different paths and different stories.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Stromberg: VR visual fidelity will reach photorealistic levels of immersion
“So I think that you know, the fidelity will get better. The viewing systems will get better. And one day you'll be able to go into the worlds of Pandora, wherever you want to go, but in a very, very real way.”
Prediction Held up
Stromberg: Virtual reality content will eventually adopt motion rating systems
“You know, I think that, that eventually we'll probably see some sort of motion rating system.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2022
Stromberg: Dedicated 30-to-40 seat VR motion-seat theaters will emerge
“There's lots of talk of that, and we're talking to people about that, and I think you can very realistically see you know, 30, 40 seat theaters pop up with seats that, motion-based seats that are synchronized to the experience itself.”
Assertion Contradicted
Stromberg: VRC completed an 18-minute VR project with Steven Spielberg
“We just completed an 18 minute piece with Steven Spielberg who, you know.”
Assertion Supported
Stromberg: Avatar was mostly filmed via motion capture in Playa del Rey
“So actually, the entire movie, there was a section of the movie that was shot in New Zealand, which were actual sets and actual actors, but the majority of the film was actually all motion capture, which means that all the actors had a motion capture suit on, …”
Assertion Supported
Stromberg: Avatar production allowed real-time visualization of digital characters
“And we were seeing back real time the actors as their avatar character.”
Assertion Supported
Stromberg: 85% of the movie Gravity was CG
“85% of that movie was CG anyways.”
Assertion Supported
Stromberg designed Avatar's organic world while Rick Carter designed military elements
“Later on a guy by the name of Rick Carter came on who was, we co-production design. He did the human elements, the military base, and I did the organic world.”