why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Reinhart: Single-celled organisms and synthetic flavors will produce synthetic meat and nutrients
“So I think we're going to use single-celled organisms to produce the same proteins and fats and carbohydrates that we used to wait an entire growing season for, that we can have organisms that double within hours, and I think we can use, ah, the front-end tech…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Reinhart: Food will be grown in steel vats instead of agricultural fields
“I think that a lot of food is going to be grown in giant steel vats rather than fields, but that means that we're never going to run out of arable land, because all you really need to make food is sunlight and air and water.”
Assertion Contradicted
Reinhart: Soylent conducted a clinical study on Soylent consumption for Nature publication
“We run a peer-reviewed study it'll be published later this year in a nature journal, using a controlled study, studying the effects of tolerability of a People living on Soylent and measuring a lot of biomarkers, vitamin, mineral nutrition, and otherwise, and,…”
Insight
Reinhart: Sustainable products must offer direct consumer benefits like lower cost
“Asking someone to pay more for a more sustainable product is, is a long shot. You know, most of the market is probably not going to be up for that. I think you have to confer some benefit directly to the consumer, but I think that's entirely possible because i…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rhinehart: Soylent aims to manufacture its bottles using engineered microorganisms
“The goal is, is total vertical integration. I think, in theory, we could make everything, including the bottle out of you know, out of microorganisms that have been engineered to produce these components far, far more efficiently. Than traditional processes.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rhinehart: Countertop photobioreactors could eventually produce food for individual homes
“I think we could have the Mr. Soylent sits on your counter, or you put it on your porch, and it gets sunlight, or you have your solar panel, which powers the LEDs, and you know, the fundamentals, there's certainly no physical limit that would make this impossi…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Rhinehart: Soylent is developing a therapeutic food paste for $1 daily
“One thing we are working on is what's called an RUTF, ready to use therapeutic food, which is kind of like a paste. So it's between the powder and the drink so that it is ready to consume, but it's cheaper to ship because it doesn't have as high moisture conte…”
Assertion Supported
Rhinehart: Modern crops like corn and watermelons are not strictly natural
“If you look at the crops we have today, I mean, calling them natural is just you know, a misunderstanding. I mean, corn is not supposed to be yellow. You know, pumpkins are supposed to be this big. Watermelons aren't supposed to be this big. You know, soy has …”
Insight
Rhinehart: Returning to ancestral farming romanticizes a much harder past
“Maybe they think that if we go back to being farmers, things are going to be easier, but our ancestors didn't have it very easy, and I think it's largely a romanticization of the past, and that we have, we live in a very beautiful more peaceful world than we h…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rhinehart: Tourists will visit LA to see Soylent's glowing photobioreactors
“Going to the Soylent factory in LA in a few years is going, people are going to come from all over the world to see these giant blue glowing, glowing orbs.”
Disclosure
Rhinehart: SpaceX and Orbital Sciences have reached out to Soylent
“We actually have heard from people that places like SpaceX and Orbital Sciences, I think, stocks the food for the ISS.”
Assertion Partly supported
Rhinehart: Enough food is currently produced to feed the world twice over
“So yeah, there's plenty of food is produced to feed the world twice over.”
Assertion Supported
Rhinehart: Ready-to-drink Soylent has a one-year unrefrigerated shelf life
“To have it sit on the shelf to have a shelf life of over a year and not require refrigeration.”
Disclosure
Rhinehart: Soylent uses algae oil grown in single-cell bioreactor tanks
“One example of this is the algae oil that is present in the products. So it's not it's not grown like a traditional crop in a field. It's grown in a large tank in a bioreactor with single cells.”
Assertion Supported
Rhinehart: Soylent powder costs under two dollars per 500-calorie meal
“The powder is less than two dollars per meal. This is a full meal, 500 calories. The bottle is around, is two dollars and 50 cents for 400 calories.”
Prediction Held up
Rhinehart: Soylent aims to lower its powder cost to $5 daily
“Yes, that's eight dollars a day on the powder, and I'm trying to get that down to five dollars a day.”