The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hoffman: Predictive AI for drug discovery only needs 1% accuracy
“Simply doing prediction and getting that prediction right, and by the way, it doesn't have to be right a hundred percent of time, it has to be right, like, one percent of the time, because you can validate the other 99% were it right, and then finding that one…”
Hoffman: Silicon Valley Ethos Prioritizes Product Innovation Over Early Business Models
“This is actually one of the things that I think people don't realize about Silicon Valley. You start with, what's the amazing thing that you can suddenly create? Lots of these companies, you go, what's your business model? You go, I don't know. You're like, ye…”
Hoffman: Professionals not finding serious AI uses aren't trying hard enough
“If you haven't found a use of AI that helps you on something serious today, not just write a sonnet for your kid's birthday or, you know, I've got these ingredients in my fridge, what should I make? Do those too. But if you haven't for something like work, for…”
Hoffman: AI does not need consciousness to reason or set goals
“I don't think you need consciousness for goal setting or reasoning.”
Hoffman: AI startups cannot sustain exponential costs without revenue
“You can't have an exponentiating cost curve without at least a following revenue curve.”