The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Flournoy: US intelligence community agrees Russia directed WikiLeaks releases
“It's pretty accepted now from the intelligence community community that these leaks were directed by Russia.”
Flournoy: Policymakers misapply nuclear deterrence models to cyber threats
“Most of the policy makers don't fully understand The technology in detail, and so they can, they're tempted to apply previous frameworks in a way that doesn't really fit, like they'll, so they'll hearken back to the nuclear domain and, you know, concepts of es…”
Flournoy: South Korea pays over half of US troop stationing costs
“Korea pays more than 50% of the cost of our troops there.”
Flournoy: US ethical debates on AI military tech will be bypassed by adversaries
“I also think in this country, we are likely to have important ethical debates about things like fully autonomous military systems, or The use of genetic modification to create sort of superhuman capabilities and soldiers or what have you in a way that may be t…”
Flournoy: A four-year defense budget deal is Congress's top security imperative
“I've come to believe that the most important thing the next Congress could do for U.S. National security is Is negotiate with the new administration at least a four-year budget deal that would create a predictable top line, that would end the threat of sequest…”
Flournoy: U.S. risks losing military technological superiority within 10 to 15 years
“If we continue on that road, we will not Keep our military technological edge. The next 10 to 15 years is the critical period that will determine whether the US maintains that as an unbelievably valuable asset or whether we lose it in some areas.”
Flournoy: Stationing US troops in South Korea costs less than domestic housing
“It would be more expensive to bring them home and house them in the United States.”
Flournoy: China is currently its own worst enemy in Asia
“I think China right now is its own worst enemy.”
Flournoy: Procuring IT like fighter jets guarantees technical obsolescence before deployment
“We cannot try to procure IT-driven solutions the way we procure aircraft carriers or fifth-generation fighter jets. It just doesn't work. It's a recipe for being obsolete before you even fully feel the capability.”
Flournoy: Every US president since WWII faced a crisis in year one
“And if you look historically, every single presidency since World War II, something, some major policy crisis has happened in the first Six to 12 months of administration, usually unpredicted, not the thing you expected.”
Flournoy: Policy frameworks have lagged far behind cyber technology
“In my view, the policy and concept development side of the conversation has not kept pace with the technology and what we're actually experiencing in terms of cyber activity, and so we really don't have a conceptual frame for thinking about how to respond.”
Flournoy: U.S. military edge requires partnership with the tech industry
“To me, this is probably one of the most important challenges we're going to have to deal with, and you can't do it Without some kind of partnership with the tech world.”
Flournoy: Military operators share a deep cultural affinity with tech entrepreneurs
“When you get to know operators, they're incredible entrepreneurs that have been trained up, But thrown into battlefield situations where it's like my training didn't tell me about that, and they are constantly problem solving and creating new things and using …”