why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rose: AI relationship mediators will be considered healthy within 10 years
“10 years from now, will that tech be good enough to where we'll consider that to be not like just like a healthy thing for our relationship? I think so.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rose: AI will end software engineering as non-subjective coding is solved
“I think engineering is over. I think we're going to be orchestrators of information, not engineers. I think those will be solved problems. Anything where there is a non subjective outcome, AI will tackle that and solve that problem.”
Opinion
Rose: Students should not pursue computer science degrees right now
“I wouldn't go as a CS degree. I would not go into that right now, you know?”
Disclosure
Rose: I avoided AR/VR investing and disagree with Zuckerberg's strategy
“I don't agree with his direction around classes and AR VR. I never have. I've been anti AR VR for years. Never made an investment in the space, always avoided it altogether because I think that we're not considering the social side of things enough, like the i…”
Disclosure
Rose uses ChatGPT and professional therapy frameworks during marital disagreements
“If I get in a disagreement with my wife, I will take some of that shit to ChatGVT and be like, am I right here? What's going on? You know? And I, but I call and I say, use the framework of Terry Real. I use some of these like professional therapists and say, h…”
Assertion Supported
Rose: Digg Had More Web Traffic Than Facebook in Mid-2000s
“At that time we were larger than Facebook. And so traffic wise”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rose: Poke's price negotiation onboarding feature generated tens of thousands of signups
“That alone, that little tiny feature is a great example of something that went, you know, kind of viral within a small subset of in, I'm sure led to tens of thousands of signups.”
Disclosure
Kevin Rose: Twitter Investment Thesis Centered on Open Broadcasting Over Friending
“I did the investment in Twitter way back in the day. And the thesis for me was, it was very simple for me to see because we'd had bi-directional relationships for the longest time. And what I mean by that is the, my spaces and all the social platforms that had…”
Disclosure
Rose: LinkedIn Bought Digg's Patents for Millions After Main Business Failed
“The asset of Dig sold for pennies on the dollar, wasn't really worth a whole lot. But the patents ended up being worth millions of dollars that LinkedIn bought them from us.”
Insight
Rose: Pitting multiple AI models against each other resolves bugs faster
“And if I run into a problem, I then take that problem over to the other side, have them also work on it. And if I put them against each other, you can typically get to a solution pretty quickly.”
Insight
Rose: Prompting AI for 20 distinct UI variations unlocks unique product designs
“And now the big unlock is you say, that's great. Give me 20 other ways to do it that are completely novel, unique, and don't have anything to do with the first way and put them all on a single page.”